From : GBD Secretariat <gbdsec@uw.edu>
To : Ketevan Goginashvili <kgoginashvili@moh.gov.ge>
Subject : GBD 2020 Causes of Death (CoD) Preliminary Estimates
Received On : 30.05.2020 01:36

Dear Collaborators,

We are pleased to share with you Causes of Death (CoD) preliminary estimates for GBD 2020. Reviewing preliminary estimates is an opportunity available exclusively to GBD Collaborators. This is your chance to review the levels and trends for causes or countries that interest you, and to inform us of any major concerns.
 
Please note that the deadline for sending comments is Friday, June 12, 2020 at 11:59pm PDT.

 Thank you in advance for your time and effort at this important stage.

I. Reviewing the Preliminary Estimates

To enable you to share feedback as efficiently and easily as possible, we have framed two critical questions regarding these estimates. We would greatly appreciate your feedback on these questions:

  1. Based on your expertise in a country or location, are there cases where the level or trend of mortality due to a specific cause does not match the data or the epidemiological profile of the country/location?
  2. Are there data sources we have included that should be marked as outliers (due to unreliable data collection, unrepresentative samples, or other concerns)?
Please Note, there are some known issues in select causes with this version of CoD estimates, but we wanted to share the estimates with you as soon as possible. We have compiled a list of these issues here. Please review this document before commenting.

II. Accessing the Preliminary Estimates
 
PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR COMMENTS IN THE FORM BELOW: 
https://uwhealthmetrics.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_3DAAamilAGl57KZ?Q_DL=YSKIhqlFsMaMGxu_3DAAamilAGl57KZ_CGC_Ak5Wh91s4xnhjyV&Q_CHL=email


III. Important background information on new aspects of these estimates

What is in the GBD 2020 Causes of Death Preliminary Estimates?
These preliminary estimates for GBD 2020 causes of death include:
1-5 months In GBD 2019 this was part of the Post Neonatal age group
6-11 months In GBD 2019 this was part of the Post Neonatal age group
12 to 23 months In GBD 2019 this was part of the 1-4 yrs age group
2 to 4 In GBD 2019 this was part of the 1-4 yrs age group

These preliminary estimates do not include: Overview of new data sources added for Cause of Death Estimation 2020
In the data addition step of GBD 2020, the following data were added to the database:

 
Data Type Number of Location Years Added
Vital Registration 105
Verbal Autopsy 30
Police Records 1
Sibling History 21
Surveillance 6
Survey/Census 66
CHAMPs/MITS 5

What about COVID19?
We know there is great interest in the estimation of the burden due to COVID19. In GBD 2020, estimates for both fatal and non-fatal outcomes for COVID19 will be computed. As COVID19 is a new cause in GBD 2020, we are still working to incorporate it into our estimation which is why you do not see them in this set of preliminary results.


Lastly, please note that you are receiving privileged access to these preliminary results as a GBD collaborator; these results are confidential and should not be cited or circulated.

Thank you again for your collaboration. We look forward to improving these results with your help.

GBD Secretariat
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation | University of Washington
2301 5th Avenue, Suite 600 | Seattle, WA 98121| USA
gbdsec@uw.edu | http://healthdata.org

 
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