From : OECD Economics News <EcoContact@newsletter.oecd.org>
To : kgoginashvili@moh.gov.ge
Subject : Coronavirus : the world economy at risk
Received On : 02.03.2020 10:14

Coronavirus : the world economy at risk
Insights from Interim Economic Outlook  View this email online

OECD considers two scenarios:

Best scenario:
temporary blow

  • Severe, short-lived downturn in China, where GDP growth falls below 5% in 2020 after 6.1% in 2019, but recovering to 6.4% in 2021.

  • In Japan, Korea, and Australia, growth also hit hard then gradual recovery.

  • Impact less severe in other economies but still hit by drop in confidence and supply chain disruption.

Domino scenario:
broader contagion

  • A longer lasting and more intensive outbreak spreading through the Asia Pacific region, Europe and North America

  • Global growth could drop to 1.5 per cent in 2020, half the rate projected before the virus outbreak

  • Recovery much more gradual through 2021.

Tackling the fallout from the coronavirus

The global economy faces its biggest peril since the financial crisis.  What can governments do to address the issues? 

Read the blog post
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