From : Sebastian-A Molineus <smolineus@worldbank.org>
To : Natela Turnava <nturnava@moesd.gov.ge>; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Subject : RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis
Cc : Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; n.gagua@mof.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Thea Gigiberia <tgigiberia@ifc.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Received On : 01.03.2021 09:14
Attachments :

Dear colleagues –

 

below our weekly COVID-19 update for the ECA region and US, including on vaccines. Interesting to note that by Extending the interval between first and second doses of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine from 6 weeks to 3 months, you can boost efficacy from 55% to 81%, says a Lancet meta-analysis.

 

 

2021

Feb 24

Summary – Key Development

 

 

Headlines and Epidemiology update

Update on Key Tools

 

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Update

 

Number of weekly confirmed cases reported

IBRD: 1,053,888

IDA-eligible: 64,541

Number of weekly confirmed deaths reported

IBRD: 28,222

IDA-eligible: 1,377

Total number of confirmed cases

IBRD: 52,389,384

IDA-eligible: 3,311,091

Total number of confirmed deaths

IBRD: 1,266,971

IDA-eligible: 60,898

  


   

46.5% of all new weekly COVID-19 cases (Feb 15-22) are reported in IBRD countries, 2.9% in IDA-eligible countries and 50.6% in high-income countries. Likewise, 46.4% of all COVID-19 deaths since last week are reported in IBRD countries, 2.3% in IDA-eligible countries and 51.3% in high-income countries.

 

Of the total COVID-19 cases: 47.3% were reported in IBRD countries, 3.0% were reported in IDA-eligible countries, and 49.7% in High-income countries.

 

 

Epidemiology Update – New SARS-CoV-2 variants

  • The Coronavirus is Here to Stay — Here’s What that Means – In January, Nature asked more than 100 immunologists, infectious-disease researchers and virologists working on the coronavirus whether it could be eradicated. Almost 90% of respondents think that the coronavirus will become endemic — meaning that it will continue to circulate in pockets of the global population for years to come. The future will depend heavily on the type of immunity people acquire through infection or vaccination and how the virus evolves. Influenza and the four human coronaviruses that cause common colds are also endemic: but a combination of annual vaccines and acquired immunity means that societies tolerate the seasonal deaths and illnesses they bring without requiring lockdowns, masks and social distancing.

 

                                

                                                

 

  • 501Y.V2/B.1.351 variant Recent evidence suggests that variant 501Y.V2 may compromise immunity indicating potential increased risk of reinfection. There is now growing evidence that the mutations present in this variant may help the virus evade immune system responses triggered by previous infections of SARS-CoV-2 or by vaccines. There has been a report of a SARS-CoV-2 reinfection with the 501Y.V2 variant months after recovering from a first episode of COVID-19 with a more severe clinical presentation.
  • Longer infections could fuel a variant’s quick spread – Preliminary findings suggest that B.1.1.7, a SARS-CoV-2 variant first identified in the United Kingdom, might be more transmissible because it spends more time inside its host than earlier variants do. In people infected with B.1.1.7, infections lasted an average of 13.3 days, compared with 8.2 days in people with other variants. These findings hint that B.1.1.7 is more easily transmitted than other variants are because people who catch it are infected for a relatively long time, and can therefore infect a larger number of contacts. This suggests that longer quarantine periods might be warranted for individuals infected with this variant. The findings have not yet been peer reviewed.
  • Emerging Variant B.1.525 was detected in the United Kingdom and Nigeria in December 2020. Since then, it has been detected in at least another 13 countries. This variant is partially similar to the 501Y.V2 variant and contains mutations which may be associated with some degree of biological significance, including the E484K, Q677H and F888L mutations, as well as a similar number of deletions that are contained in B.1.1.7.E484K has been labelled as an escape mutation, so called because it may help the SARS-CoV-2 virus to evade host immune defenses.

 

HOW DO VARIANTS COMPARE?


Source: WHO, 02-23-2021

 

Other Headlines

  • WHO Epi update The global weekly incidence continues to decrease. The weekly total is fewer than 2.5 million cases for the first time since early October 2020 and less than half the weekly total of the peak in early January. Weekly mortality continues to decrease as well, down to 66,359 deaths last week. This is a decrease of nearly 20% compared to the previous week and an overall decrease of nearly one-third from the high in late January.
  • French COVID-19 intensive care patients at a 12-week high.
  • The United States officially topped 500,000 COVID-19 deaths on Monday, less than a year into the pandemic. The country with the second highest death total, Brazil, has seen half as many deaths as the US.
  • WHO Launches 2021 Strategic Preparedness and Response Plan to Fight Pandemic
  • Long COVIDA study conducted in Israel investigated chronic symptoms in 103 recovered COVID-19 patients over a 6-month period. Nearly half of the participants reported chronic symptoms that persisted for 6 months, including 22% with ongoing fatigue, 15% with changes to taste and smell, and 8% with breathing difficulties. Increasing prevalence of long-term health effects from SARS-CoV-2 infection are raising concerns regarding how long-term care will be managed for patients with long COVID. Some advocates have raised the possibility of classifying long COVID as a disability as patients with severe chronic conditions following SARS-CoV-2 infection may be unable to return to work, or school or other activities. USDA, FDA Underscore Current Epidemiologic and Scientific Information Indicating No Transmission of COVID-19 Through Food or Food Packaging
  • The FDA also released a statement to stress that current evidence indicates that SARS-CoV-2 is not being transmitted through food or food packaging: “Consumers should be reassured that we continue to believe, based on our understanding of currently available reliable scientific information, and supported by overwhelming international scientific consensus, that the foods they eat and food packaging they touch are highly unlikely to spread SARS-CoV-2”.

 

UPDATE ON KEY TOOLS

 

Vaccine Development and WHO approval

 

Vaccine  Access, Delivery, and Rollout

 

  • COVAX The Group of Seven (G7) leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, and the US committed an additional US$4.3 billion to COVAX, bringing the total to US$7 billion from these 7 countries. The pledge includes US$2 billion from the US, with an additional US$2 billion in the future, contingent upon the other G7 countries fulfilling their commitments.
  • COVAX launches No-fault compensation program for COVID-19 vaccines plan for claims of serious side effects due to COVID-19 vaccines. This is the first and only global vaccine injury compensation mechanism. The program is funded by a small levy on each dose supported by the Gavi COVAX AMC. The COVAX no-fault compensation program will be operationalized through its web portal (www.covaxclaims.com) by 31 March 2021, which will include resources such as the program’s protocol.
  • COVAX launched the COVID-19 vaccine introduction toolbox, which provides guidance, tools, and training to equip all countries to prepare for and implement COVID-19 vaccination.
  • Vaccination Efficacy insight from frontrunners More evidence is emerging that vaccination campaigns are significantly reducing the risk of both severe COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission. A study by Public Health England found that the risk COVID-19 disease among healthcare workers (HCWs) decreased by 65-72% after the first dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, and more than 85% after the second dose. Additionally, the risk of infection decreased by 70% in HCWs who received one dose and 85% in those who received both doses. Similarly, data from Public Health Scotland indicates that hospitalization risk decreased 94% for individuals vaccinated with the AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine and 85% for the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.
  • Study shows real-world effectiveness of Moderna and Pfizer/BioNtech vaccines - Researchers in the United States have conducted a study demonstrating the real-world effectiveness of the recently approved Moderna and Pfizer/BioNtech vaccines at protecting against infection with SARS-CoV-2 - the agent that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
  • Can Covid-19 vaccines stop viral transmission? Initial results suggest some vaccines may reduce infectiousness even if they don’t prevent infection altogether. An AstraZeneca trial found lower viral load—a proxy for infectiousness—in the vaccinated group. However, scientists still can’t rule out that slowing infections in certain regions are due to other factors like behavioral changes.
  • Vaccine Safety Analysis of early SARS-CoV-2 vaccine safety monitoring from the US vaccination campaign published in the US CDC’s MMWR, reviewed safety monitoring data for the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines administered in the US from December 14, 2020, to January 13, 2021. During this period, 13.8 million doses of vaccine were administered, and there were 6,994 post-vaccination adverse events reported in the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS).
  • Responding to the rise of variants, the US FDA has issued new guidance for pharmaceutical companies on adapting COVID-19 vaccines, tests, and treatments such as monoclonal antibodies. New vaccines that protect against variants will not have to go through large, randomized controlled trials required for initial versions of the vaccines. The vaccine guidance is likened to the process of updating seasonal flu vaccines. It may eventually be possible to move closer to a flu vaccine model in which vaccine updates are tested in a lab, rather than in clinical trials.
  • Pharmacists say 'pooling' Covid vaccines could save thousands of doses.
  • After Pfizer deal, Sanofi offers a hand to Johnson & Johnson for 12M COVID-19 vaccine production.
  • Over 43 Million Doses of Sinopharm's COVID-19 Vaccines Used Globally More than 43 million COVID-19 vaccine doses from China’s state-backed China National Pharmaceutical Group (Sinopharm) have been used, including over 34 million administered in the country and the rest overseas.
  • Article on mRNA vaccine manufacturing process.
  • Extending the interval between first and second doses of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine from 6 weeks to 3 months boosts efficacy from 55% to 81%, says a Lancet meta-analysis.
  • Pfizer/BioNTech scientists say their vaccine is stable at normal pharmaceutical freezer temperatures (-25°C to -15°C), meaning that the product could be stored at these temperatures for a total of 2 weeks as an alternative to ultra-low temperature freezers (-80°C to -60°C or -112°F to  76°F).
  •  Infodemics and Health Security – series of articles that analyze infodemics in health emergencies and communication policies and practices to overcome a variety of misinformation challenges in health emergencies.

 


 


Africa (AFE and AFW)

 

Europe and Central Asia

  • UK potentially to give two doses of vaccines to all citizens by September.
  • Italian police are investigating fake Covid-19 drugs and vaccines after receiving an offer to buy 27m doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine outside of the EU procurement system.
  • UK has given the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine to 17.7 million people.
  • Ukraine received its first batch of 500,000 doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine from India, allowing it to launch its delayed roll-out, starting with front-line medical workers and soldiers.

 

East Asia and Pacific

  • Vietnam received the first batch of 117,000 doses of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine on Wednesday ahead of the planned rollout of the Southeast Asian country's vaccination program from next month.
  • Thailand received on Wednesday its first 200,000 doses of Sinovac Biotech's CoronaVac, the country's first batch of coronavirus vaccines, with inoculations set to begin in a few days.
  • Philippines has approved Sinovac Biotech’s COVID-19 vaccine for emergency use, but will not give it to healthcare workers at risk of exposure due to its varying levels of efficacy

 

Latin America and the Caribbean

  • Columbia approves emergency use of COVID-19 vaccine.
  • Brazil has approved Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, but it has no supply to start an immunization program yet.
  • Chile leads in Latin America in its campaign to vaccinate its population against the coronavirus, with 2.5 million doses of vaccine administered.
  • Argentina approves Sinopharm COVID-19 vaccine for emergency use.
  • Argentina’s health minister resigned after claims surfaced of the improper allocation of vaccines.
  • Latin American governments are accusing Pfizer of strong arming COVID-19 vaccine negotiations.

 

Middle-East and North Africa

  • Israel to share some COVID vaccines with Palestinians, Honduras, Czech Republic.
  • Virus Spikes Amid Disbelief and Mistrust in Iraq. Coronavirus cases are surging in Iraq amid widespread shirking of restrictions like mask-wearing and doubt about whether the pandemic is real. New daily cases, which were under 600 a month ago, reached 3,896 on last week. Half of them involve the variant discovered in the UK.

 

South Asia Region

 

Mobility

  • Singapore is discussing the mutual recognition of vaccine certificates with other countries.
  • US land borders with Canada and Mexico will remain closed to non-essential travel until at least 21 March to address Covid-19 concerns

 

Treatment

 

Diagnostics

  • Smiths Detection’s BioFlesh system capable of detecting SARS-CoV-2 in the air.
  • A prototype COVID-19 rapid test—which uses antibody particles from animals like camels and llamas—showed a 90% accuracy rate compared to gold-standard PCR tests, and can produce results in 10 minutes without a lab.

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Tuesday, February 23, 2021 10:43 PM
To: nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge'
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze ; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' ; Evgenij Najdov ; Lire Ersado ; Abdulaziz Faghi ; Thea Gigiberia ; Jan Van Bilsen
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

below our weekly COVID-19 update for the ECA region and US, including on vaccines.

 

 

2021

Feb 17

Summary – Key Development

 

 

  • Israel reported a 94% drop in symptomatic COVID-19 infections among 600,000 people who received two doses of the Pfizer's vaccine in the country's biggest study to date.
  • India has detected both the South African and Brazilian coronavirus variants and people returning from those countries may be tested more aggressively.
  • The coronavirus variant identified in the Brazilian Amazon may be three times more contagious but early analysis suggests vaccines are still effective.
  • New COVID variant with 5 mutations identified in California.
  • Report of interest Staying Ahead of the Variants
  • One shot of either the Moderna or the Pfizer vaccine provokes a strong immune response against B.1.351 of SARS-CoV-2.
  • The WHO has asked six African countries (Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Ivory Coast, Sierra Leone and Liberia) to be alert for possible Ebola infections, as Guinea reported a new outbreak and DRC reported a resurgence.
  • Evidence supporting use of facemasks in JAMA and CDC MMWR.
  • Common asthma drug Budesonide cuts COVID-19 hospitalization risk, recovery time.
  • EU regulator to give verdict on J&J COVID-19 vaccine by mid-March.
  • WHO lists two additional COVID-19 vaccines for emergency use and COVAX roll-out. The two versions are those produced directly by AstraZeneca-SKBio and those manufactured under the license to the Serum Institute in India.
  • Lebanon started its COVID-19 vaccination drive on Sunday by inoculating the head of critical care at its biggest public hospital.
  • Malaysia will receive its first batch of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines over the weekend for a COVID-19 inoculation drive that is set to begin on Feb. 26.
  • Australia's medical regulator granted provisional approval for AstraZeneca Plc's COVID-19 vaccine.
  • Tanzania refuses COVID-19 vaccines.

 

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Update

 

Number of weekly confirmed cases reported

IBRD: 1,174,470

IDA-eligible: 73,907

Number of weekly confirmed deaths reported

IBRD: 35,760

IDA-eligible: 1,606

Total number of confirmed cases

IBRD: 51,335,496

IDA-eligible: 3,246,550

Total number of confirmed deaths

IBRD: 1,238,749

IDA-eligible: 59,521

  


   

43.8% of all new weekly COVID-19 cases (Feb 8-15) are reported in IBRD countries, 2.8% in IDA-eligible countries and 53.4% in high-income countries. Likewise, 43.6% of all COVID-19 deaths since last week are reported in IBRD countries, 2.0% in IDA-eligible countries and 54.5% in high-income countries.

 

Of the total COVID-19 cases: 47.3% were reported in IBRD countries, 3.0% were reported in IDA-eligible countries, and 49.7% in High-income countries.

 

Epidemiology Update – New SARS-CoV-2 variants

  • India has detected both the South African and Brazilian coronavirus variants and people returning from those countries may be tested more aggressively.
  • Seven newly identified coronavirus variants in the United States share a similar mutation (Q677P in the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, which the virus uses to bind to cells), but the significance of this change is not yet clear, however,  it could potentially factor into the virus’ transmissibility, its susceptibility or resistance to antibodies, including those generated through vaccination. These sub-lineages first appear in specimens sequenced at least as far back as August 2020, but it is unclear exactly when they first emerged. Increased sequencing capacity is needed to improve surveillance for these and other emerging variants.
  • 13 Middle East nations have new COVID-19 variant cases.
  • The coronavirus variant identified in the Brazilian Amazon may be three times more contagious but early analysis suggests vaccines are still effective.
  • New COVID variant with 5 mutations identified in California.
  • Data released by a British research group last month suggested the B.1.1.7 variant may be deadlier than the original form of the virus, and updated analyses released late last week bolster that conclusion.
  • A comment in the Lancet, explores how new variants are complicating efforts to end the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the steps required for vaccines to keep ahead of viral evolution and mutation.
  • One Health – Some coronaviruses found in bats could jump directly to people without the need for further evolution in an intermediate animal host, suggesting potential for the next pandemic. A coronavirus strain found on a Polish mink farm can be directly transmitted from the animals to humans and vice versa.
  • Report of interest Staying Ahead of the Variants Policy recommendations (US focus) include: (1) implement public health measures to slow transmission,  (2) prioritize contact tracing and case investigation, (3) develop a genomic surveillance strategy, (4) improve coordination for genomic surveillance and characterization. First, implementing policies to slow transmission can mitigate the risk of new variants emerging in the first place.
  • One shot of either the Moderna or the Pfizer vaccine provokes a strong immune response against B.1.351 of SARS-CoV-2, according to tests in people who have recovered from COVID-19. A single shot of the vaccine, increased neutralizing antibodies approximately 1,000-fold.
  • Variant Reinfection: Israeli officials have confirmed that 3 people who had recovered from COVID-19 have been re-infected with the B.1. 351 variant first discovered in South Africa.

HOW DO VARIANTS COMPARE?

Source: WHO, 02-15-2021

 

Other Headlines

  • The WHO has asked six African countries (Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Ivory Coast, Sierra Leone and Liberia) to be alert for possible Ebola infections, as Guinea reported new cases, and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) saw a resurgence.
  • The number of global COVID-19  new cases reported has continued to fall, with 2.7 million new cases last week, a 16% decline over 500,000 fewer new cases compared to the previous week. The number of new deaths reported also fell, with 81,000 new deaths reported last week, a 10% decline as compared to the previous week. The current weekly incidence is the lowest since mid-October 2020.
  • Evidence supporting the use of facemasks in JAMA. A  CDC MMWR  study highlights associated decline in COVID-19 hospitalization growth rates with Statewide mask mandate.
  • The US CDC published updated guidance to support schools’ efforts to mitigate COVID-19 risk for in-person classes. The guidance emphasizes 5 key mitigation mechanisms—mask use, physical distancing, hand hygiene and respiratory etiquette, cleaning and sanitization, and surveillance and contact tracing.  It also provides guidance on how to implement these and other strategies at various levels of COVID-19 risk.
  • Study suggests that the humidity that builds up inside masks, and increased hydration of the respiratory tract, may help lessen the severity of COVID-19.
  • The Associated Press has an explainer about what the WHO team learned about the origin of SARS-CoV-2.
  • Lessons from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic response in China, Italy, and the U.S.: a guide for Africa and low-and-middle-income countries

 

UPDATE ON KEY TOOLS

 

Vaccine Development and WHO approval

  • EU regulator to give verdict on J&J COVID-19 vaccine by mid-March.
  • WHO lists two additional COVID-19 vaccines for emergency use and COVAX roll-out. The two versions are those produced directly by AstraZeneca-SKBio and those manufactured under the license to the Serum Institute in India. With the Emergency Use Listing (EUL) in place, the AstraZeneca-Oxford vaccine can begin distribution through the COVAX facility, which will provide doses to low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) around the world.
  • COVID-19 vaccine trials are now underway in children for Astra Zeneca vaccine.
  • Challenges in Ensuring Global Access to COVID-19 Vaccines: Production, Affordability, Allocation, and Deployment Having licensed vaccines is not enough to achieve global control of COVID-19: they also need to be produced at scale, priced affordably, allocated globally so that they are available where needed, and widely deployed in local communities. This review looks at potential challenges to success in each of these dimensions. A dashboard has been presented highlighting key characteristics of 26 leading vaccine candidates. The paper also contains information from a 32-country survey showing that vaccine acceptance is highest in Vietnam (98%) and lowest in Serbia (38%).

 


 


*Vaccines that have been approved or granted emergency authorization by at least one stringent regulatory body; WHO publishes a list of stringent regulatory authorities, which includes Hungary. Hungary has provided EUA for both Gamelaya and Sinopharm.

 

Vaccine  Access, Delivery, and Rollout

  • Moderna COVID-19 vaccine doses to the U.S. government lagging because of "short-term delays" in the final stages of production at its contractor Catalent Inc.
  • The US FDA is considering allowing Moderna to increase the number of doses included in each vial of its SARS-CoV-2 vaccine from 10 to 14 or 15 doses. Increasing vial capacity by 40-50% could potentially increase the country’s overall COVID-19 vaccine supply by 20%. Filling and labeling the individual vials remains a major bottleneck in the vaccine manufacturing process, so increasing the volume of vaccine in each vial would increase supply without adding time to the overall time to finish each vial.
  • 130 Countries Haven't Even Started Vaccinating There are the 130 countries that "are yet to administer a single dose," according to UNICEF. That's 2.5 billion people who so far have been completely shut out of the global vaccine campaign.

 


 


Africa (AFE and AFW)

  • Lack of Covid data may leave African countries behind in vaccine rush.  It may not be seen as priority because the true extent of the pandemic is unknown.
  • Africa CDC: Roll Out of AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 Vaccine On Continent set to get underway— Except In Countries Where B-1351 Variant Dominates
  • The South African Medical Association is expecting the first Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine doses to arrive on Tuesday.
  • Lack of Covid data may leave African countries behind in vaccine rush.  It may not be seen as priority because the true extent of the pandemic is unknown.
  • Africa CDC: Roll Out of AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 Vaccine On Continent set to get underway— Except In Countries Where B-1351 Variant Dominates
  • The South African Medical Association is expecting the first Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine doses to arrive on Tuesday.

Europe

 

  • UK potentially to give two doses of vaccines to all citizens by September.
  • The European Union is adding clauses to contracts with COVID-19 vaccine makers which would allow the bloc to gain access to possible upgraded shots that may offer better protection against variants of the virus.
  • First 550,000 doses of Sinopharm's vaccine arrive in Hungary.
  • Serbia has been approved to produce the Russian Sputnik V vaccine.
  • The EU is holding talks with Moderna on buying more COVID-19 vaccine. AstraZeneca, with which talks have stalled, has suggested delivering doses of its own vaccine made outside Europe to make up for supply cuts.
  • UK's drug regulator is auditing manufacturing processes at Serum Institute of India (SII) which could pave the way for AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine to be shipped from there to the UK and other countries.
  • The European Union will fast track approvals of coronavirus vaccines adapted to combat mutations.

 

East Asia and Pacific

  • Hong Kong government advisory panel on COVID-19 vaccines said on Tuesday it would recommend Sinovac vaccine for emergency use.
  • The Thai government defended its decision not to join COVAX, saying that to do so would risk the country paying more for the shots and facing uncertainty about delivery times.
  • Syringe shortage hampers Japan's COVID-19 vaccination roll out.
  • Malaysia will receive its first batch of Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines over the weekend for a COVID-19 inoculation drive that is set to begin on Feb. 26.
  • Malaysia will extend its free vaccination programme to all foreigners residing in the country, including students, refugees and undocumented migrants, the government said on Thursday
  • Australia's medical regulator granted provisional approval for AstraZeneca Plc's COVID-19 vaccine.

 

Latin America and the Caribbean

  • Brazil health regulator approves additional AstraZeneca vaccine imports.
  • Mexico says local AstraZeneca vaccine lab almost rebuilt to meet standards. In partnership with the Mexican and Argentinean governments, AstraZeneca plans to produce millions of doses of the vaccine, developed with Oxford University, for distribution throughout the region.
  • Mexico has signed an emergency use authorization for China’s Sinovac vaccine, according to the country’s deputy health minister.
  • The Dominican Republic has begun vaccinating healthcare workers against Covid-19 following the arrival of the first 20,000 doses of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine.
  • Mexico on Monday began the task of vaccinating millions of senior citizens against the coronavirus, with dozens of Mexicans over 60 years old waiting in line for hours because of delays in administering shots. Mexico received a shipment of 870,000 doses of AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine from India on Sunday.
  • Colombia will begin COVID-19 vaccinations on Wednesday following the arrival of the country's first vaccines, from Pfizer Inc.
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have approved Russia's Sputnik V vaccine against the new coronavirus for use.
  • Peru probes early use of Sinopharm vaccine by top government officials before they were widely available in the country.

 

Middle-East and North Africa

  • Lebanon started its COVID-19 vaccination drive on Sunday by inoculating the head of critical care at its biggest public hospital.
  • Iran declared 10 southwestern communities as high-risk COVID-19 "red" zones as a consignment of 100,000 doses of the Russian Sputnik V vaccine arrived on Friday.
  • Frontrunner lessons – Israel continues to lead the world in terms of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. Israel’s largest healthcare provide reported a 94% decrease in symptomatic COVID-19 cases among 600,000 individuals who received 2 doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, compared to those who have not yet been vaccinated. Despite its success, Israel still faces many challenges in terms of vaccine hesitancy. Israel is reportedly considering measures to prohibit unvaccinated individuals from some public spaces. Israel is also implementing more creative measures to incentivize vaccination. At some mass vaccination centers, DJs play music in order to attract attention and draw in younger adults. Pizza, hummus, pastry and a cup of coffee offered at pop-up vaccination centers in Tel-Aviv to encourage Israelis to get their COVID-19 vaccinations.

 

South Asia Region

 

Mobility

  • UK will provide vaccine COVID-19 certificates for its residents if they are required by other countries, although it is not planning to introduce them for use at home.

 

Treatment

  • Common asthma drug Budesonide cuts COVID-19 hospitalization risk, recovery time.
  • A Cochrane review finds that “Hydroxychloroquine for people infected with COVID‐19 has little or no effect on the risk of death and probably no effect on progression to mechanical ventilation. Adverse events are tripled compared to placebo, but very few serious adverse events were found. No further trials of hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine for treatment should be carried out.”

 

Diagnostics

  • SARS-CoV-2 testing for public health use: core principles and considerations for defined use settings.

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Wednesday, October 07, 2020 10:19 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Thea Gigiberia <tgigiberia@ifc.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –                                                                                                   

 

Please find attached our weekly World Bank COVID-19 update, with information specific to the Europe and Central Asia region, as well as globally.  Note also the update on vaccination efforts. 

 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

 

US

 

Vaccine

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, September 25, 2020 7:25 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues – our weekend update.

 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA  

France

Russia

Spain

Turkey

UK

 

NORTH AMERICA

US

 

VACCINES, DIAGNOSTICS, AND THERAPEUTICS

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, September 10, 2020 1:00 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

please find below and attached our weekly WB update on COVID-19.  Please note in particular the progress report on vaccines below. 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

France

Greece

Italy

Russia

Spain

UK

 

NORTH AMERICA

US

 

VACCINES, DIAGNOSTICS, AND THERAPEUTICS

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, August 21, 2020 7:36 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleague –

 

For your weekend reading pleasure, please find below ECA-specific information from the WB’s weekly COVID-19 update.  Please also find attached the weekly ECA COVID-19 Monitoring presentation with key indicators across the region.

 

 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

Belgium

France

Germany

Russia

Spain

UK

 

NORTH AMERICA

US

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Wednesday, August 12, 2020 11:37 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

Am glad to be back in country following my summer vacation and look forward to seeing you soon. 

 

Here is the latest WB COVID-19 update for the Europe and Central Asia region.  Please also find attached the weekly ECA COVID-19 Monitoring presentation with key indicators across the region.

 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

Greece

Russia

Denmark

UK

 

NORTH AMERICA

US

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, August 06, 2020 4:44 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

Please find below the latest COVID-19 related updates/ responses and attached the weekly ECA COVID-19 Monitoring presentation with key indicators across the region, kindly prepared by the World Bank’s Human Development Practice Group.

 

Please also note that two attached slides that offer a landscape overview of vaccines.  As you will know, there is increased optimism that a vaccine may soon pass phase 3 (October is the current estimate) and so I would be happy to start discussions on how best for the government to pre-order should there be interest from the government’s side. 

 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

France

 

Italy

 

Russia

 

Spain

 

Turkey

 

NORTH AMERICA

US

 

 

 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Tuesday, July 14, 2020 11:41 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>; Mikheil Chkhenkeli <mchkhenkeli@mes.gov.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues - please find attached the latest COVID-19 related news for the Europe and Central Asia region.  I also attach the latest education sector brief and so copy Mikheil in for info. 

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

Russia

France

UK

Kazakhstan

 

NORTH AMERICA

US

 

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, July 10, 2020 8:54 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

for your weekend reading pleasure 😉, please find attached a summary of a WB paper that concludes that lockdowns are associated with an ~10% drop in GDP, but that even without lockdowns economies suffer by a similar extent – and so in sum there is no trade-off between savings lives and livelihoods!  Also, on average, countries that implemented lockdowns in the early stages of the pandemic are found to have better short-term economic outcomes and lower cumulative mortality.

 

https://voxeu.org/article/early-lockdowns-save-more-lives-and-livelihoods

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Wednesday, July 8, 2020 8:25 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge' <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; 'n.gagua@mof.ge' <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

please find attached and below this week’s WB update on country responses to the COVID-19 crisis. 

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 *Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

 

United Kingdom

 

 

Serbia

 

Germany

 

 

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Update, Tuesday, July 7, 2020 (data as of 9 p)

Outbreak first reported: 12/31/2019

Days since first report: 172

 Days since last report: 1 d

 

58.7 percent of all new COVID-19 cases are reported in IBRD countries, 6.8 percent in IDA countries and 34.5 percent in high-income countries. Likewise, 80.7 percent of all COVID-19 deaths since the last report are reported in IBRD countries, 7.4 percent in IDA countries and 11.9 percent in high-income countries.

Global and Regional Headlines

 

  • Nearly 11.8 million people around the world have now been diagnosed with COVID-19, and more than 543,595 have died. Top five countries: United States (more than 2.99 million), Brazil (over 1.66 million), India (over 719,000), Russia (over 693,000), Peru (over 309,000).
  • The United States has officially notified the United Nations Secretary-General of the country's withdrawal from the World Health Organization (WHO).
  • The Brazilian President tested positive for SARS-CoV-2.  Brazil is one of the countries worst affected by COVID-19.
  • Biotech firm Novavax gets $1.6 billion in US Federal funding for vaccine development.
  • WHO officials are worried about growing outbreaks in Latin America.
  • The World Health Organization on Tuesday acknowledged “evidence emerging” of the airborne spread of the coronavirus.
  • UNAIDS expressed concern that the continuation of severe disruptions from COVID-19 response measures has the potential to push up the AIDS death rate to a 72 percent increase on the estimated 690 000 HIV-related deaths globally in 2019.
  • Emerging evidence in a study by University College London (UCL) suggests COVID-19 may lead to severe neurological complications, including inflammation, psychosis and delirium.
  • In a new report ‘Preventing the next pandemic - Zoonotic diseases and how to break the chain of transmission’, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI) highlight the rising trend of zoonotic diseases and how rising demand for wild meat, environmental destruction and unsustainable farming could lead to more pandemics like COVID-19. The report identifies One health as an optimal approach to prevent and respond to future pandemics.
  • WHO released interim guidance on ‘Investing in and building longer-term health emergency preparedness during COVID-19 pandemic’ to help countries link COVID-19 response actions to improve national medium- to long-term preparedness and  International Health Regulations (IHR) core capacities to respond to future threats.

 

 

Countries with the highest number of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases by region (Total cases / Total Deaths)

 

AFRICA – South Africa (215,855/3,502); Nigeria (29,789/669); Ghana (21,968/129); Cameroon (14,916/359); Cote D'Ivoire (11,194/76); Sudan (9,997/622); Kenya (8,250/167); Senegal (7,547/137)

 

EAST ASIA PACIFIC – China (84,917/4,641); Indonesia (66,226/3,309);  Philippines (47,873/1,309); Singapore (45,140/26); Japan (20,054/980); South Korea (13,244/285)

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA – Russia (693,215/10,478); UK (287,874/44,476); Spain (252,130/28,392); Italy (241,956/34,899); Turkey (207,897/5,260); Germany (198,343/9,032)

 

LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN – Brazil (1,668,589/66,741); Peru (309,278/10,952); Chile (301,019/6,434); Mexico (268,008/32,014); Colombia (120,431/4,452); Argentina (83,426/1,644)

 

MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA – Iran (245,688/11,931); Saudi Arabia (217,108/2,017); Qatar (100,945/134); Egypt (77,279/3,489); Iraq (64,701/2,685); UAE (52,600/326)

 

SOUTH ASIA – India (719,665/20,160); Pakistan (234,509/4,839); Bangladesh (168,645/2,151); Nepal (16,168/35); Afghanistan (33,384/920); Sri Lanka (2,081/11)

 

USA – (2,994,223/131,626)

 

Source: The case and death data is collected from: WHO situation reports; and John Hopkins University (JHU);  there may be some inflation of cases due to potential double counting between the two sources’ countries and their respective territories; WHO delineates cases and deaths by each territory, while JHU does this only for some.

 

AFRICA

 

  • The African Development Bank (AfDB) has said that 49 million Africans could be pushed into extreme poverty by the COVID-19 pandemic.  The AfDB forecasts a 3.4% contraction in gross domestic product in 2020. The economy is projected to rebound from the pandemic slump in 2021, but it could still lose nearly $173.1–$236.7 billion in economic output in 2020 and 2021. A rebound is threatened by risks including a potentially worsening pandemic, subdued commodity prices, volatile global financial conditions and even natural disasters such as the locust infestations that have ravaged East Africa this year.
  • As of July 7, the confirmed cases of COVID-19 from 55 African countries have reached nearly half million. Reported deaths in Africa have reached crossed 11,650.
  • The United Nations Security Council has unanimously passed a resolution demanding an immediate 90 days' cessation of hostilities in conflict zones due to the COVID-19 pandemic, this would include conflict zones in South Sudan, Yemen, Libya and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

 

Kenya

  • Schools in Kenya will not re-open until 2021 due to fears of COVID-19 infections which has started taking toll in the country.
  • As Kenya enters phased easing of lockdown, the government faces protest on limiting the criteria for the phased reopening of places of worship. At this point number of worshippers per service are limited to 100.
  • Kenya has recorded 183 positive coronavirus cases in the last 24 hours, bringing the total tally of confirmed cases to 8, 250.

 

DRC

  • Health workers responding to the coronavirus outbreak in Kinshasa have cut their services to a minimum in protest against unpaid bonuses. The partial strike, which began on Friday, is taking place in the capital Kinshasa, where the vast majority of DRC’s 7,660 confirmed cases have been recorded, and two neighboring provinces.

 

Uganda

  • Boda boda operators yesterday sued government for not allowing them resume passenger transport. Through their association, the National Federation of Professional Cyclists Network (NFPC), the boda boda riders state that government is acting in a discriminatory manner by allowing other businesses, particularly other public transport service providers, to reopen and yet stop them from carrying passengers.

 

Angola

  • At least 33 new positive cases of covid-19 and two deaths have been detected in the last 24 hours in Angola, bringing the total in the country to 386 and 21 respectively

 

Zimbabwe  

  • Thirteen nurses were arrested yesterday in Harare for violating Covid-19 lockdown regulations relating to social distancing. The nurses were demonstrating against working conditions, complaining that they do not have adequate protective gear to safely treat COVID-19 patients. Many nurses working in public hospitals stopped reporting for work in mid-June.

 

EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC

 

China

  • China is forging ahead in the race to develop a vaccine to help control the COVID-19 pandemic, with Sinovac Biotech’s experimental vaccine set to become the country’s second and the world’s third to enter final stage testing later this month.
  • WHO is sending a team into China to investigate the origin of the Covid-19 disease.

 

South Korea

  • Three hundred drones took to the evening sky over the Han River in South Korea to dispense coronavirus prevention advice through a synchronized light display featuring images of hand-washing and social distancing.

 

Japan

  • Supercomputer-driven models simulated in Japan suggested that operating commuter trains with windows open and limiting the number of passengers may help reduce the risk of coronavirus infections, as scientists warn of airborne spread of the virus.

 

Australia

  • The Australian state of Victoria has confirmed 134 new cases of COVID-19 in the past 24 hours, as its borders were closed, and it moved to impose a six-week lockdown in Melbourne – a city of five million.
  • Panic buying has hit supermarkets in Melbourne and Victoria again in advance of the six-week lockdown that comes into force in a few hours’ time. Woolworths - Australia's biggest grocery chain - has already reinstated buying limits for basics, including pasta, sugar and toilet paper.
  • Nearly two dozen healthcare workers and patients have been diagnosed with COVID-19 in recent weeks in Victoria.
  • Australia’s coronavirus emergency cabinet will consider limiting the number of its citizens and residents returning home from overseas to reduce the risk of importation of COVID-19 cases.

 

Malaysia

  • Malaysian budget carrier AirAsia’s future is in “significant doubt” due to the collapse in demand for air travel caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Malaysia reported six new COVID-19 infections on Tuesday, pushing the national total to 8,674 cases.
  • Malaysia and Singapore are in a dialogue to discuss the reopening of their borders. A firm decision is expected by early August.

 

Fiji

  • Three new cases this week, bringing the total to 21, with no deaths. The cases have been linked to a repatriation flight from India on 1 July. A Fijian citizen died on the same flight, having suffered breathing difficulties. Authorities have not counted this as a fatality in Fiji.
  • Estimates suggest that nearly half of all Fijians are facing “severe” financial distress. A major resort in Fiji has announced that nearly 500 staff will be made redundant as of next month.

 

Solomon Islands

  • Independence Day celebrations on 7 July were cancelled because of the ongoing state of emergency.

 

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

 

United Kingdom

 

  • Britain will today unveil a mini-budget to kickstart the UK economy, hoping infrastructure investment will help build its way out of the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Finance minister Rishi Sunak is due to deliver his spending plans at 1130 GMT, having already flagged £3 billion (US$3.7 billion, €3.3bn) of green investment.
  • Scientists warn of a potential wave of COVID-19 related brain damage. A study by researchers at University College London (UCL) described 43 cases of patients with COVID-19 who suffered either temporary brain dysfunction, strokes, nerve damage or other serious brain effects. The study found nine of the patients were diagnosed with a rare condition called acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM), which is usually seen in children and can be triggered by viral infections.

 

Serbia

  • A group of opposition supporters stormed the Serbian parliament on Tuesday night in a protest against plans to impose a lockdown on the capital.

 

Germany

  • The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in Germany increased by 397 in the last 24 hours and the death toll has risen by 12.
  • Although the Gütersloh lockdown has been lifted after German court ruling, the n slaughterhouse and meat packing plant at the centre of COVID-19 outbreak won’t be allowed to reopen until authorities are satisfied with its hygiene procedures.

 

LATIN AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN

 

Brazil

  • The Brazilian President tested positive for COVID-19 on Tuesday, shortly after the presidential palace said he had been displaying symptoms associated with the disease.
  • Brazil has recorded another 1,312 deaths and more than 48,000 new cases. Brazil’s total death tally is nearly 67,000, with 1.67 million confirmed cases.

 

Mexico

  • Mexico has reported 6,258 new confirmed coronavirus infections and 895 additional fatalities, bringing the total in the country to 268,008 cases and 32,014 deaths.

 

 

MIDDLE-EAST & NORTH AFRICA

 

Israel

  • Israel’s public health director has quit amid a spike in new COVID-19 cases, saying the country had been too hasty to reopen its economy and had lost its way in dealing with the pandemic.

 

Iran

  • Iran has recorded its highest number of deaths from COVID-19 within a 24-hour period. The 200 deaths reported on Tuesday exceed the previous record from Sunday, when the ministry reported 163 deaths in a day.

 

SOUTH ASIA

 

India

  • People under 30 in India have been badly hit by job losses due to COVID-19, eroding one of India's key economic advantages. About 41 percent of people aged between 15-29 were unemployed in May, according to data compiled by the Centre for Monitoring the Indian Economy (CMIE). That is an increase of 17.3 percent in 2018-19. An estimated 27 million people between the ages of 20 and 30 lost their jobs in April, the CMIE says. Young people are also overrepresented in sectors like retail, hospitality and tourism, which have been badly hit by policies enforcing social distancing.
  • India has reported a spike of 22,752 Covid-19 cases in the last 24 hours, taking the country's coronavirus tally to over 7,40,000.

 

Pakistan

  • Pakistan reported 2,980 new coronavirus cases in the last 24 hours, taking the total tally to 237,489. According to the Ministry of National Health Services, the death toll from the virus reached 4,922 after 83 more deaths were reported from the country. Another 2,236 patients were in critical condition. 
  • The authorities have so far conducted 1,467,104 tests, including 21, 951 tests in the last 24 hours.

 

NORTH AMERICA

 

United States of America

  • The U.S. coronavirus outbreak crossed a grim milestone of over 3 million confirmed cases on Tuesday as more states reported record numbers of new infections, and Florida faced an impending shortage of intensive care unit hospital beds.
  • More than 25% of the total number of new cases reported worldwide came from the U.S., according to the WHO’s data.
  • Georgia surpassed 100,000 reported coronavirus cases, becoming the ninth state to pass the mark.
  • In California, the number of hospitalizations across the state were at an all-time high and the virus positivity rate jumped more than 2% in Los Angeles. Nearly 6,000 coronavirus patients are hospitalized in California - the highest number since the pandemic began - and the state is seeing a record number of Covid-19 patients in ICUs. California is only one of several states that are reporting record numbers of hospitalizations. Medical facilities in Florida, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina are being overrun by the surge of cases.
  • At least 56 intensive care units in Florida hospitals reached capacity on Tuesday. Another 35 hospitals show ICU bed availability of 10% or less, according to the Agency for Health Care Administration, raising concerns tht the State is close to running out of intensive care beds.

 

MOBILITY

 

  • The State Fair of Texas, America’s largest and longest-running fair will skip the 2020 season, its first cancellation since World War II, amid the uptick in coronavirus cases.
  • New York added additional three states to the quarantine requirement for 14 days amid the OCIVD-19 pandemic. The three additional states are Delaware, Kansas and Oklahoma.
  • The Downtown Disney District in Anaheim, California will open on July 9, despite Disneyland not yet having a reopening date.

 

VACCINES, THERAPEUTICS, AND DIAGNOSTICS

 

  • Vaccine. The US government has awarded Novavax Inc $1.6 billion to cover testing, commercialization and manufacturing of a potential coronavirus vaccine in the United States, with the aim of delivering 100 million doses by January 2021. The award is the biggest yet from “Operation Warp Speed”.
  • Vaccine. Johnson and Johnson and Maryland-based CDMO Emergent BioSolutions inked a five-year work order worth at least $480 million to help produce the New Jersey-based drug makers COVID-19 vaccine candidate, Emergent said in a release.
  • Treatment. German health minister had discussed the Covid-19 antiviral drug remdesivir with US health secretary and drug firm Gilead to secure production in the EU. The EU Commission also held ‘constructive’ talks with the Gilead regarding the production capacity and access to remdesivir treatments for EU member states
  • Diagnostics. FDA has granted emergency use authorization to a test from the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention designed to determine if a patient is infected with influenza or the novel coronavirus. The authorization comes five months after CDC became the first organization to receive an EUA for a coronavirus test.

 

ECONOMIC IMPACT

 

  • Denim maker Levi Strauss & Co.’s sales fell 62% during the second quarter, the company announced Tuesday. It also announced it will be slashing about 15% of its global corporate workforce, impacting about 700 jobs.
  • Orders for infrastructure materials and equipment have helped industrial output recover faster in China than most places emerging from COVID-19 lockdowns, but further expansion will be hard to attain without stronger broad-based demand and exports.
  • US hiring surged to a record high in May and layoffs fell as businesses reopened, but the improvement in the labor market is likely to be blunted by a resurgence in COVID-19 cases that has forced some enterprises to shut down again. The report followed on the heels of news on Friday that the economy created a record 4.8 million jobs in June. But the upswing in hiring has been overtaken by record spikes in new COVID-19 infections in large parts of the country, which have forced several jurisdictions to scale back or pause reopening and send some workers back home. Even with the record hiring over the past two months, employment is 14.7 million jobs below its pre-pandemic level.
  • Canadian purchasing activity expanded in June for the first time in four months, according to Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data released on Tuesday, providing another sign of economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic crisis.
  • Mexico’s auto production and exports picked up steam in June from a month earlier, as carmakers reopened plants from their coronavirus-induced shutdown. Production jumped nearly 11-fold in June to 238,946 units, from 22,119 units in May.
  • The euro zone economy will drop deeper into recession this year and rebound less steeply in 2021 than previously thought, the European Commission forecast on Tuesday, with France, Italy and Spain struggling the most due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Five more U.S. airlines — Delta, United, JetBlue, Southwest and Alaska — have reached agreements with the Treasury Department over the terms for billions in federal loans aimed at helping them weather the impact of COVID-19. Five other airlines, including American, already reached agreements, the Treasury Department said last week. The $2.2 trillion CARES Act set aside $25 billion in loans for U.S. passenger airlines. Carriers also received $25 billion in payroll support that requires them to keep employees paid through Sept. 30.
  • Economic activity fell in every US state in the first three months of the year as the pandemic brought activity to halt, according to government data. The U.S. gross domestic product — the broadest measure of the nation’s economy — contracted by 5%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Wednesday, July 1, 2020 11:02 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues - please find below our weekly update on COVID-19 policy responses across the Europe and Central Asia region. 

 

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):*  Albania (2,535/62); Andorra (855/52); Armenia (25,542/443); Austria (17,766/705); Azerbaijan (17,524/213); Belarus (62,118/392); Belgium (61,427/9,747); Bosnia and Herzegovina (4,453/186); Bulgaria (4,831/223); Croatia (2,777/107); Cyprus (998/19); Czech Republic (11,895/349); Denmark (12,968/605); Estonia (1,989/69); Faroe Islands (187/0); Finland (7,214/328); France (202,063/29,846); Georgia (928/15); Germany (195,418/8,990); Gibraltar (177/0); Greece (3,409/192); Greenland (13/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (4,155/585); Iceland (1,842/10); Ireland (25,473/1,736); Isle of Man (336/24); Italy (240,578/34,767); Jersey (319/31); Kazakhstan (21,819/188); Kosovo (2,799/49); Kyrgyzstan (5,296/57); Latvia (1,118/30); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,817/78); Luxembourg (4,299/110); Malta (670/9); Moldova (16,613/545); Monaco (103/5); Montenegro (548/12); Netherlands (50,483/6,132); North Macedonia (6,334/302); Norway (8,879/250); Poland (34,393/1,463); Portugal (42,141/1,576); Romania (26,970/1,651); Russia (647,849/9,320); San Marino (713/42); Serbia (14,564/277); Slovakia (1,667/28); Slovenia (1,600/111); Spain (249,271/28,355); Sweden (68,451/5,333); Switzerland (31,714/1,963); Tajikistan (5,900/52); Turkey (199,906/5,131); Ukraine (45,254/1,173); United Kingdom (314,159/43,815); United States (2,620,250/127,272); Uzbekistan (8,385/26)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response

Germany

Italy    

Russia

Spain

United Kingdom

Uzbekistan

United States

WHO

European Union

UN

 

 

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, June 18, 2020 2:59 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues - please find attached and below this week’s World Bank COVID-19 update.  I also attach a document with three short articles I believe could be of interest as they can help inform policy moving forward.   Just out of curiosity: could you advise on what the R0 factor is in Georgia today?  Also, is there any news on entry policies into Georgia for tourists and diplomatic corps members as of July 1?  Many thanks and best regards, Sebastian

 

Steroid drug hailed as 'breakthrough' for seriously ill COVID-19 patients
Reuters
A cheap and widely used steroid called dexamethasone has become the first drug shown to be able to save the lives of COVID-19 patients in what scientists said is a “major breakthrough” in the coronavirus pandemic.


How Exactly Do You Catch Covid-19? There Is a Growing Consensus
The Wall Street Journal
Six months into the coronavirus crisis, there's a growing consensus about a central question: How do people become infected? It's not common to contract Covid-19 from a contaminated surface, scientists say. And fleeting encounters with people outdoors are unlikely to spread the coronavirus. Instead, the major culprit is close-up, person-to-person interactions for extended periods.


Comment: How Covid-19 will change the world
Financial Times by Martin Wolf
In less than six months, Covid-19 has transformed the world. But what might its impact ultimately be? Our ignorance on this is quite comprehensive. But it is far from absolute. So let us take stock

 

WB COVID-19 country update:

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):*  Albania (1,722/38); Andorra (854/52); Armenia (18,033/302); Austria (17,203/687); Azerbaijan (10,991/133); Belarus (56,032/324); Belgium (60,244/9,675); Bosnia and Herzegovina (3,141/168); Bulgaria (3,542/184); Croatia (2,258/107); Czech Republic (10,154/333); Denmark (12,494/598); Estonia (1,977/69; Finland (7,117/326); France (194,805/29,578); Georgia (888/14); Germany (188,604/8,851); Greece (3,203/187); Greenland (13/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (4,078/567); Iceland (1,815/10); Ireland (25,341/1,710); Isle of Man (336/24); Italy (237,828/34,448); Jersey (316/30); Kazakhstan (15,542/97); Kosovo (1,713/33); Kyrgyzstan (2,562/30); Latvia (1,104/30); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,778/76); Luxembourg (4,085/110); Malta (662/9); Moldova (12,732/433); Monaco (99/5); Montenegro (333/9); Netherlands (49,412/6,093); North Macedonia (4,482/210); Norway (8,680/243); Poland (30,701/1,286); Portugal (37,672/1,523); Romania (22,760/1,451); Russia (553,301/7,478); San Marino (696/42); Serbia (12,522/257); Slovakia (1,561/28); Slovenia (1,509/109); Spain (244,683/29,858); Sweden (54,562/5,041); Switzerland (31,183/1,956); Tajikistan (5,221/51); Turkey (182,727/4,861); Ukraine (33,986/953); United Kingdom (300,717/42,238); United States (2,157,768/117,622); Uzbekistan (5,682/19)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response

Czech Republic

•             Members of Prague City Council are self-isolating after one of the deputy mayors tested positive for Covid-19; the council had been holding virtual meetings, but it voted to return to in-person meetings; now all 11 members will have to quarantine following Monday’s seven-hour council session, and several City Assembly members are also being tested

Denmark

•             Mink at a farm in Denmark were found to be infected with the new coronavirus and the whole stock would now be culled; the outbreak among minks is the first in Denmark but comes shortly after 10 mink farms in the Netherlands were ordered culled after some animals tested positive for the disease

France

•             France hopes to reach an agreement with the 26 other members of the European Union on a proposed €750bn recovery fund in July, a presidential adviser has said ahead of videoconference between EU leaders on Friday

Germany

•             More than 300 households in the Berlin district of Neukoelln have been placed into quarantine, after 57 new infections were recorded

•             A large German meat processing plant has been hit by an outbreak of coronavirus; 400 new infections of employees at Toennies meat production in the nearby Rheda-Wiedenbrueck plant have been registered

•             Germany is to extend the ban on big gatherings, such as festivals and fairs, to avoid another wave of Covid-19 infections

•             Berlin is planning for schools to return to normal operations after the summer holidays, although recommendations for social distancing and mask-wearing in shops and on public transport will stay

•             Germany's smartphone app to help trace coronavirus infections has been downloaded 6.5 million times in the first 24 hours since its launch

•             Germany’s health ministry announced that there is no reason to stockpile the generic steroid drug dexamethasone

Italy

•             Italy’s nursing homes, where the COVID-19 epidemic is believed to have killed thousands of people, did not have the equipment needed to protect staff or residents, a survey by the country’s top health body shows

•             After three months of empty squares and alleys, and gondoliers stranded on dry land, Venice is welcoming tourists back to the city

Norway

•             Chinese and Norwegian authorities have concluded that Norwegian salmon was likely not the source of the novel coronavirus that was found at cutting boards in a Beijing food market

Portugal

•             Portugal's parliament approved in the first reading a supplementary budget that increases spending by 4.3 billion euros ($4.8 billion) to help the coronavirus-battered economy

Kazakhstan

•             The speaker of the lower house of Kazakhstan's parliament is the latest politician to test positive for coronavirus; he met the country's healthcare minister last week before the minister was diagnosed with COVID-19 and admitted to hospital with pneumonia

•             Over the past week authorities have once again tightened restrictions such as the working hours of shops and public transport in most of the provinces, citing accelerating spread rates of the virus

Russia

•             Russia says that new coronavirus cases are at their lowest since April 30

•             Russia already uses dexamethasone to treat patients with the novel coronavirus, but does not view it as a panacea against COVID-19

•             A group of Azeris clashed with Russian riot police after learning that not all of them would be allowed to return to Azerbaijan; according to Russian investigators around 400 people "used violence" against police and border guards, trying to block a major highway and throwing stones at the security forces; at least nine police officers were lightly injured

Serbia

•             More than 2,200 residents of Loznica, in western Serbia, were forced to spend nearly a month in self-isolation after they crossed the border to buy petrol in neighboring Bosnia and Herzegovina; since March, Serbia has required all residents re-entering to undergo 14 or 28 days of self-isolation

Spain

•             Spanish Prime Minister has announced a state ceremony will be held on July 16 to honor more than 27,000 people who have died in the pandemic

Sweden

•             Deaths in Sweden from COVID-19 passed 5,000, the Public Health Agency said, far more than in neighboring Nordic countries; Sweden has taken a softer approach to fighting the coronavirus, leaving most schools, shops and restaurants open and relying on voluntary measures focused on social distancing and good hygiene

•             Deaths in Sweden has been far higher relative to the size of the population than in Denmark, Norway and Finland, where authorities have taken a stricter approach; but they have been lower than in Britain, Italy and Spain, where there have also been lockdowns

•             Sweden will lift its advice against non-essential travel to 10 European countries from 30 June; the countries are Greece, Croatia, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, France, Iceland, Belgium, Switzerland and Luxembourg; for other European countries – including the UK as well as neighboring Denmark, Norway and Finland – the advice against non-essential travel will still apply

Turkey

•             Turkey reportedly may need to adopt a harder line on social interactions following a jump in coronavirus infections; this month restaurants and cafes reopened, intercity flights and car travel resumed and weekend stay-at-home orders were lifted; however, new COVID-19 cases have roughly doubled to 1,600 a day since June 1

United Kingdom

                 Britain has increased the amount of dexamethasone it has in stock and on order to 240,000 doses

                 London's mayor has announced he will take a 10 percent pay cut due to a budget crisis caused by the coronavirus outbreak, as he urged the government to help UK's stretched local authorities; the Mayor said the capital faces a budget shortfall of nearly £500m ($628m) over the next two years because of an "unprecedented" income loss from the crisis

                 Annual inflation rate slid to 0.5 percent in May, remaining at a near four-year low as the country's coronavirus lockdown dampened prices

                 The English Premier League is set to kick off behind closed doors and under strict restrictions exactly 100 days after its season was suspended due to the coronavirus pandemic

                 A UK health official says the country's coronavirus contact tracing app will be now ready "before the winter"

 

 

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Sunday, June 14, 2020 10:28 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

below (and attached) you will find an update of global social protection measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

 

Indeed, a lot happened since v.10, including measures now reaching 4-digits across nearly the whole planet; in kind and cash-based social safety nets cover 1.6B people; 72% of social assistance is ongoing as we speak, with the rest being planned or ended; cash transfers tend to be short-term and generous in provision (+93% relative to pre-C19 levels)… and have been scaled by over 230%, with about 15% of the world’s population (but only 2% in Africa) receiving at least one Covid-related cash payment; 21 programs tackle urban vulnerabilities, while 70 measures are emerging in fragile states; social protection spending is nearly $600B, but only $1/person in low-income countries; and much, much more….

 

After nearly 3 months since version 1 of this paper was released, the number of countries and territories as well as social protection measures continue to climb. Since March 20, the number of countries quadrupled, while measures soared almost tenfold. Currently, 195 countries/territories have planned or introduced social protection measures in response to Covid-19. While this review’s version 11 will later provide a fresh look at which measures are planned, ongoing and ended, our repository of country actions now reached the four-digit milestone of 1024 measures.

 

Social assistance accounts for most of the social protection response. A total of 621 measures were recorded, accounting for 60% of the response. Nearly 50% of those safety net measures, and about 30% of global measures, are various forms of cash-based transfers. Besides 271 targeted cash transfer programs in 131 countries, interventions include 6 universal transfers, 5 of which one-off, and a robust number (25) of social pension schemes. In-kind transfers are also substantial, with 23% of the social assistance portfolio including the distribution of food commodities, vouchers and school feeding programs. Both in-kind transfers and cash have bene growing steadily over time. Finally, 14 public works programs are present in 11 countries.

 

Overall, social assistance continues to be adapted to the crisis in 3 ways. A total of 63 programs in 47 countries have adapted their administrative systems to make it easier for people to access programs, including advance payments waiving conditionalities, remote applications, etc. More generous transfers are provided for 75 programs in 54 countries, both in terms of higher transfer levels and extra payment cycles. Scale-up of program coverage is occurring in 167 countries and concerns 466 measures. Among them, existing programs are being scaled-up in 23 cases. A total of 179 cash transfer programs are new (58% of the total cash-based transfers), 75 of which are on-off measures (25% of the total).

 

The number of individuals that benefit from social assistance in various ways is staggering. Based on our analysis, 4 sets of numbers can be considered: if we consider the full set of ways in which programs are adapted (i.e., administration, adequacy and coverage), these have benefitted over 1.7 billion people (1,775,606,790). Using the same criteria, but restricting it only to cash-based measures, these have reached 1.2 billion individuals (1,297,710,250). If we examine the sole metric of coverage levels for cash transfers, then such scale-up covered 1.1 billion people (1,142,065,485). Such level would increase by about half a billion people if also in-kind transfers are included (1,672,407,675).

 

Cash transfer programs tend to be of short duration and relatively generous in size. Information on duration is available for 70 cash transfer measures ranging from 1 to 12 months, for an average of 3.1 months. In terms of generosity, data from 209 countries show that average transfers almost doubled (+93%). Increases more than doubled in five countries (Mongolia, Trinidad and Tobago, Egypt, South Korea and Brazil). Overall, transfers represent 30% of average monthly GDP per capita – a 5 points increase since last update in late May.

 

Where have cash transfers been scaled-up the most from their pre-Covid levels? Out of a sample of 18 countries, Myanmar and Nigeria present some stunning, four-digit rates because of their low initial levels of coverage. If we exclude those exceptional cases, the average rate of increase in cash transfers coverage is about 233%. Similarly, the Congo Republic and Madagascar have made remarkable scale-up efforts despite their very low initial coverage. Other countries like Indonesia and Bangladesh also present substantial scale up rates despite the relatively higher initial coverage levels. The coverage of cash and in-kind transfers varies by region. The coverage of cash transfers has increased over the past month, especially in East Asia and Pacific. On average, 15% of the world’s population is covered by cash transfers, ranging from 2% in Africa to 22% in North America and LAC. The global average increases to 22%, mostly because of large-scale in-kind schemes in India.

 

Importantly, how many of country measures are planned, ongoing or ended in practice? This is an important question to get a firmer sense of the action at country level. While reporting data is often limited, patchy and unavailable, we re-surveyed all the 621 social assistance measures with a view of understanding their ‘state in implementation’. Information was available for about 31% of the sample, or 195 measures. Out of these, 72% (141 measures) are ongoing, while the rest of the portfolio is either planned (13%) or completed (14%) at this time. A similar assessment is underway for social insurance and labor market programs.

 

Covid-19 has shed light on a range of vulnerabilities, including in urban areas. For this purpose, we re-examined the dataset to identify the number of programs that have been designed to address the particular needs emerging in urban settings. A total of 21 programs have such urban lens, with 1 (Kenya) specifically designed for slums. While the latter is a public works scheme, most programs (14) are cash or in-kind transfers, followed by public works (2), school feeding (2) and utility support (2).

 

There are important developments also in other key social protection components. For instance, 263 social insurance programs are present in 125 countries. Most programs include unemployment benefits (79 measures), followed by wavers, deferment or subsidization of social security contributions (61). Also paid sick leave is a significant intervention adopted for Covid-19 (59), and so are ways in which pensions were adapted (49). Supply-side, worker-related labor market programs are now featured in 140 programs and 85 countries. As in previous editions of this review, wage subsidies are the premier vehicle utilized for Covid response on the labor front. These now include 78 measures in 67 countries. Other measures include labor market regulation adjustments (27 cases), 23 activation initiatives, and shorter-time arrangements (12).

 

Regions present different combinations of social protection components. Sub-Saharan Africa is the region with the highest share of social assistance (83%), followed by South Asia (76%) and Latin America and the Caribbean (71%). Only in Europe and Central Asia safety net transfers are less than half of the regional portfolio. Social insurance is particularly extensive in North America (44%), while East Asia present the largest share of labor market measures (20%). The latter as just 5% in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.

 

What about countries in conflict and fragile situations? New analysis for those countries shows 57 social assistance measures, complemented by 9 and 4 social insurance and labor market programs, respectively. Many of the most fragile countries globally have no measures put in place – including Central African Republic, Syria, Yemen, Burundi, and Eritrea, among others.

 

How much are countries spending on social protection responses? For a subset of countries for which data is available (64 in the case of social assistance, 20 for insurance, and 17 for labor markets), a total of $589 billion is being reported. This represents an increase of $48 billion since the last update in late May. This is about 0.4% of GDP, if we consider $142 trillion as the world’s GDP. Such level of investment is in line with overall social protection spending that occurred as part of the global response to the 2010 financial crisis. However, per capita spending is variable: this ranges from $123 in high-income countries to a mere $1 in low-income settings; similarly, South Asia only provides $3/capita.

 

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, June 12, 2020 12:06 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

Please find below and attached our weekly COVID-19 update and monitoring report.

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (1,341/34); Armenia (14,103/227); Austria (17,005/673); Azerbaijan (8,530/102); Belarus (51,066/288); Belgium (59,569/9,629); Bosnia and Herzegovina (2,775/161); Bulgaria (2,889/167); Croatia (2,249/106); Cyprus (972/23); Czech Republic (9,787/330); Denmark (12,216/593); Estonia (1,958/69); Finland (7,040/324); France (192,068/29,322); Georgia (827/13); Germany (186,522/8,752); Greece (3,068/183); Greenland (13/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (4,027/551); Iceland (1,807/10); Ireland (25,231/1,695); Isle of Man (336/24); Italy (235,763/34,114); Jersey (313/30); Kazakhstan (13,319/67); Kosovo (1,298/31); Kyrgyzstan (2,093/26); Laos (19/0); Latvia (1,092/26); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,733/74); Luxembourg (4,049/110); Malta (635/9); Moldova (10,321/371); Monaco (99/5); Montenegro (325/9); Netherlands (48,293/6,061); North Macedonia (3,364/164); Norway (8,588/239); Poland (27,842/1,206); Portugal (35,600/1,497); Romania (20,945/1,360); Russia (493,657/6,358); San Marino (695/42); Serbia (12,031/251); Slovakia (1,533/28); Slovenia (1,509/109); Spain (242,280/29,858); Sweden (46,814/4,795); Switzerland (31,011/1,936); Tajikistan (4,763/48); Turkey (173,036/4,746); Ukraine (29,015/841); United Kingdom (291,584/41,213); United States (1,994,834/112,647); Uzbekistan (4,623/19)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response

Austria

Bulgaria

Denmark

France

Germany

Hungary

Italy    

Netherlands

Poland

Russia

Ukraine

United Kingdom

United States

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, June 4, 2020 7:38 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

Please find below and attached our weekly COVID-19 update and monitoring, as well as country responses. 

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (1,184/33); Andorra (851/51); Armenia (10,524/170); Austria (16,771/670); Azerbaijan (6,260/76); Belarus (45,116/248); Belgium (58,685/9,522); Bosnia and Herzegovina (2,551/157); Bulgaria (2,560/146); Croatia (2,246/103); Czech Republic (9,414/325); Denmark (11,971/580); Estonia (1,880/69); Faroe Islands (187/0); Finland (6,911/321); France (189,348/29,024); Georgia (800/13); Germany (184,121/8,602); Gibraltar (172/4); Greece (2,937/179); Greenland (13/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (3,931/534); Iceland (1,806/10); Ireland (25,111/1,659); Isle of Man (336/24); Italy (233,836/33,601); Jersey (308/30); Kazakhstan (11,796/48); Kosovo (1,142/30); Kyrgyzstan (1,871/20); Latvia (1,079/24); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,684/71); Luxembourg (4,024/110); Malta (622/9); Moldova (8,795/310); Monaco (99/5); Montenegro (325/9); Netherlands (46,938/5,996); North Macedonia (2,492/145); Norway (8,467/237); Poland (24,687/1,115); Portugal (33,261/1,447); Romania (19,669/1,296); Russia (432,277/5,215); San Marino (687/42); Serbia (11,523/245); Slovakia (1,525/28); Slovenia (1,509/109); Spain (240,326/29,858); Sweden (40,803/4,542); Switzerland (30,893/1,921); Tajikistan (4,191/48); Turkey (166,422/4,609); United Kingdom (281,264/39,811); United States (1,841,629/107,023); Uzbekistan (3,843/16)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response

Austria

•             Austria is lifting coronavirus-related border restrictions including quarantines for all neighboring countries except Italy as of Thursday, foreign minister said; Austria borders eight countries and had agreed with Switzerland, Germany and Liechtenstein that they would reopen their shared borders from June 15 and it is now accelerating that move on its side and lifting checks for other neighbors

Azerbaijan

•             Azerbaijan’s government plans to reimpose some restrictions this weekend to stop the spread of the coronavirus after the number of infections in the country rose, the government said on Wednesday; official said the government planned to introduce a curfew, restrict the movement of people in the streets and on public and private transport, and close down all shops from Friday night until Sunday morning

Belgium

•             Belgium will allow almost all businesses except night clubs to reopen on June 8, including cafes and bars, PM said on Wednesday, although social distancing measures will remain; Belgium will also reopen its borders to all fellow European Union states on June 15

•             Cultural activities would continue without spectators until July 1, when cinemas and other cultural spaces can open with a maximum of 200 people; gyms can reopen from Monday, but with no access to changing rooms; PM recommended not greeting friends with kisses or hugs and gatherings should be no larger than 50 people; Belgians should meet a maximum of 10 friends a week, a so-called personal bubble, although honoring that rule would depend on citizens showing responsibility rather than enforcement by authorities

Czech Republic

•             Czech Republic and Slovakia will fully restore free movement between borders from midnight, the two countries’ prime ministers said on Wednesday

France

•             France’s coronavirus death toll rose by 81 on Wednesday, or 0.3%, to reach 29,021, the fifth-highest death toll in the world, and the number of confirmed cases rose again after they went down Tuesday due to an adjustment in reporting; the rate of increase has decreased compared to a day earlier, when fatalities were up 0.4%, but it is still higher than the 0.2% daily average seen over the last seven days

Germany

•             German Chancellor’s coalition resumed negotiations on a massive stimulus package on Wednesday after party leaders deadlocked over cash incentives to buy new cars and extra relief for highly indebted municipalities

•             Germany will lift a travel ban for EU member states plus Britain, Iceland, Norway, Liechtenstein and Switzerland from June 15 as long as there are no entry bans or large-scale lockdowns in those countries, the foreign minister said

•             Germany is talking to Ankara about reviewing travel restrictions with Turkey but is waiting for a European Union recommendation before taking any decisions, a foreign ministry said

•             The coronavirus pandemic has contributed to another rise in unemployment in Germany in May with some 169,000 people were added to the jobless list between April and May, with the total number of unemployed now at 2.8 million, according to official figures

Greece

•             Hundreds of Greeks danced and sang from their cars at a drive-in music concert, the first such event since the country banned mass gatherings

Italy   

•             Italy has reopened to travelers from Europe, three months after the country went into coronavirus lockdown, with all hopes pinned on reviving the key tourism industry as the summer season begins

•             Italians were allowed to travel to other regions of the country on Wednesday for the first time in nearly three months, in a further relaxation of lockdown restrictions; travelers boarding trains in Milan, capital of Lombardy in northern Italy, were excited at the prospect of finally being able to visit family and friends elsewhere in the country

•             PM has said Italy would receive some 20 billion euros ($22.47bn) from a new European scheme to mitigate the impact on jobs caused by the epidemic; he added that Italy would also benefit from funds made available by the European Investment Bank, as part of a wider EU package designed to boost the bloc's economic recovery

Kyrgyzstan

•             Kyrgyzstan will resume domestic flights and bus circulation between its provinces and allow charter flights from China this month to bring in staff for numerous Chinese investment projects; Kyrgyzstan will also resume domestic flights and public transit between its provinces from June 5; employees of Chinese companies will be tested for novel coronavirus before and after the flights, Deputy PM said

Netherlands

•             An elementary school in the Netherlands closed in the city of The Hague on Wednesday after two teachers tested positive for coronavirus and seven students developed gastrointestinal symptoms, an official said

•             The Dutch government intends to cull the mink at farms where animals have been infected with the coronavirus, news media reported

•             A study of Dutch blood donors has found that about 5.5 percent of them have developed antibodies against the new coronavirus, blood donation firm Sanquin revealed; the study, conducted among 7,000 donors between May 10 and 20, gives an indication of what percentage of the Dutch population may have already had the disease and a similar study in April showed antibodies in 3 percent of Dutch blood donors

Poland

•             Poland picked June 28 on Wednesday as a new date for a presidential election that was canceled last month amid the coronavirus pandemic

Russia

•             Russian President does not plan to take part in an online summit on a possible coronavirus vaccine being organized by the British government this week, Kremlin spokesman said

•             The Kremlin defended plans to hold a nationwide vote next month on constitutional reforms, saying the coronavirus epidemic was expected to ease before it is held

•             Russia has reported 8,536 new cases of the novel coronavirus, bringing its nationwide tally to 432,277, the third-highest in the world; the death toll reached 5,215 after another 178 deaths registered

•             Residents of Moscow can leave their homes to take a stroll for the first time in nine weeks next Monday under a partial easing of a tough lockdown regime following a fall in novel coronavirus cases; shops in Moscow that were ordered to close in late March including car dealerships, dry cleaners, shoe repair stores, book shops and launderettes, are set to open; residents will be allowed out for walks three times a week on designated days that are determined by the address they live at; people can also jog or do outdoor sports, but only between 5 AM and 9 PM; shopping centers and most parks will also open next Monday, though children’s playgrounds inside them and sports facilities will stay shut

•             The Russian city of St. Petersburg, which has been hit hard by the novel coronavirus, recorded 1,552 more deaths in May than in the same month last year, official data shows

•             One person was killed after a fire broke out at a St Petersburg hospital treating patients with infectious diseases

Spain

•             The Spanish government on Wednesday secured parliament’s backing for a final extension to the state of emergency imposed to tackle the coronavirus epidemic and which will now last until June 21

•             New official data in Spain show that many more people have died than usual this year than the recorded number of coronavirus fatalities and revealed a shocking 155% spike in mortality at the epidemic’s peak in early April; experts believe the additional deaths include cases where the cause is hard to establish due to underlying conditions, and fatalities among people who avoided hospital treatment for other problems due to the fear of contracting COVID-19

•             Spain is working on plans to gradually open its borders to tourists from countries deemed more secure in the fight against the coronavirus, possibly starting from June 22, the tourism ministry said on Wednesday.

•             Foreign minister said Germany would lift a recommendation to avoid travelling to Spain as soon as Spain lifts restrictions on visitors from abroad; officials have said Spain is keen for travel protocols to be agreed on at the European level

Sweden

•             Sweden’s chief epidemiologist said on Wednesday the country should have done more to combat the coronavirus but backed the broad strategy, which avoided the strict lockdowns seen in many other countries

•             Sweden’s government has been ready to introduce further measures to try and halt the spread of the new coronavirus if recommended by the Public Health Agency, health minister said on Wednesday

Turkey

•             Turkey will open its Gurbulak border gate with Iran and the Habur border gate with Iraq this week in order to help boost trade as coronavirus containment measures are eased, trade minister said on Wednesday, added a Customs Union agreement with the European Union must also be updated soon in order to help improve trade between the two sides

•             Turkey’s health minister said on Wednesday his team would not recommend extending a weekend stay-at-home order nearly two months after it was imposed as the government continues to ease coronavirus containment measures; however, the lockdown rule, due to expire on June 6, could be reimposed in certain provinces depending on the infection rate, which has eased significantly in recent weeks

United Kingdom

•             British business minister Alok Sharma has been tested for coronavirus and is self-isolating after feeling unwell in parliament

•             Workers from the European Union who left Britain while the coronavirus lockdown shut much of the economy should come back, but must quarantine like other travelers, government said

•             Quarantine measures Britain plans to introduce for almost all international travelers from June 8 are vital to ensure the country’s rate of COVID-19 infection does not increase again, PM said

•             The results of almost all tests for the coronavirus should be available within 24 hours by the end of this month, PM said; Britain’s COVID-19 test and trace program’s data on the numbers of people tested and contacts traced within 24 hours would be available from next week once it had been validated

•             Prices in shops in Britain fell at the fastest pace since at least 2006 last month as retailers sought to find a way to win over shoppers hit by the coronavirus lockdown, an industry survey showed on Wednesday; the survey indicates that shop prices fell by 2.4% in annual terms, following a 1.7% drop in April

United States

•             The administration has identified five companies – Moderna, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson and Merck – as the most likely candidates to produce a vaccine for the novel coronavirus; the selected companies will get access to additional government funds, help in running clinical trials, and financial and logistical support, New York Times reported

•             Confusion, complaints of missing mail-in ballots and long lines at some polling centers marred primary elections on Tuesday in eight states and the District of Columbia, the biggest test yet of voting during the coronavirus outbreak

•             New York will allow outdoor dining during phase two of reopening, Governor announced on Wednesday, with restaurants in seven of 10 regions given the green light beginning on Thursday

•             California Governor signed an executive order today requiring mail-in ballots be sent to all registered voters in the state for the upcoming general election in November

•             Emergency department visits fell 42% across the United States during the early days of the coronavirus pandemic compared to the same period last year, according to a study by the CDC; the steepest declines in ER visits, from the start of 2020 through May 30, were seen in children younger than 14 and women, and in the northeast region that includes New York and New Jersey, the epicenter of the U.S. outbreak

•             U.S. state tax revenue, which plunged due to the economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic, could start to slowly recover this summer as long as the outbreak does not undergo a resurgence, analysts said

•             The U.S. Federal Reserve said on Wednesday it will allow governors of U.S. states to designate transit agencies, airports, utilities and other institutions to borrow under its municipal liquidity program as the central bank tries to mitigate economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic

European Union

•             The European Commission classified the new coronavirus as a mid-level threat to workers, drawing criticism from socialist lawmakers because the move will allow less stringent workplace safety measures than if the virus was deemed a high risk; the decision has wide economic and health implications as it could affect companies’ costs in restarting business activity and have an impact on workers’ safety

 

 

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus <smolineus@worldbank.org>
Sent: Friday, May 29, 2020 4:21 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: Re: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues - again, please find attached and below the weekly ECA COVID-19 monitoring presentation and report with key indicators across the region. Happy weekend reading. Best regards, Sebastian 

 

WHO 

  • About 159,000 more people in 24 European countries have died since early March than would have ordinarily been expected, a WHO official said, with a “significant proportion” of the spike linked to COVID-19

 

 All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (1,076/33); Andorra (763/51); Armenia (8,216/113); Austria (16,628/668); Azerbaijan (4,759/56); Belarus (39,858/219); Belgium (57,849/9,388); Bosnia and Herzegovina (2,462/153); Bulgaria (2,477/134); Croatia (2,245/102); Cyprus (941/23); Czech Republic (9,134/318); Denmark (11,712/568); Estonia (1,851/66); Finland (6,743/313); France (186,364/28,665); Georgia (738/12); Germany (182,196/8,470); Gibraltar (157/4); Greece (2,906/175); Greenland (12/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (3,816/509); Iceland (1,805/10); Ireland (24,841/1,639); Isle of Man (336/24); Italy (231,732/33,142); Jersey (308/29); Kazakhstan (9,576/37); Kosovo (1,048/30); Kyrgyzstan (1,594/16); Latvia (1,061/24); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,656/68); Luxembourg (4,008/110); Malta (616/7); Moldova (7,725/282); Monaco (98/5); Montenegro (325/9); Netherlands (46,152/5,922); North Macedonia (2,077/121); Norway (8,406/236); Poland (22,825/1,038); Portugal (31,596/1,369); Romania (18,791/1,235); Russia (379,051/4,142); San Marino (672/42); Serbia (11,300/241); Slovakia (1,520/28); Slovenia (1,509/108); Spain (239,639/29,036); Sweden (35,727/4,266); Switzerland (30,796/1,919); Tajikistan (3,563/47); Turkey (160,979/4,461); Ukraine (22,382/669); United Kingdom (270,507/37,919); United States (1,715,811/101,337); Uzbekistan (3,444/14); 

 

For real time* updates: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response 

Bosnia and Herzegovina

  • Bosnia will re-open borders closed by the coronavirus pandemic with neighboring Croatia, Montenegro and Serbia on June 1 and lift restrictions for commercial flights, PM said; business travel from other countries and visits for medical reasons and funerals will be also allowed

Denmark

  • Reopening schools in Denmark, the first country in Europe to do so, did not lead to an increase in coronavirus infections, according to official data, confirming similar findings from Finland on Thursday

Finland

  • Finland has seen no evidence of the coronavirus spreading faster since schools started to reopen in the middle of May, the top health official said 

France

  • France is due to enter a second phase in its relaxation of lockdown rules; restaurants, bars and beaches will reopen from June 2, PM said; in “green” areas where the virus circulates slowly, most of continental France, the only limit will be that there needs to be a minimum distance of 1 meter between tables; in “orange” areas such as the Ile de France region around Paris, bars, restaurants and cafes will only be allowed to open their outdoor terraces; an 100 km (62 mile) travel restriction will also be lifted; major sporting events in France will remain suspended for now until at least June 21
  • France would be favorable to the re-opening of borders with other European countries from June 15
  • France will accelerate a plan to re-open high schools and junior high schools across the country; primary schools have re-opened in most places, but high schools have lagged behind
  • The reproduction rate of the coronavirus infection is below 1 in most of France’s national territory, health minister said
  • French government’s contact-tracing app will be available from June 2; the “StopCovid” app in France was approved by the lower house of parliament on Wednesday
  • Hundreds of healthcare workers demonstrated outside a hospital in Paris on Thursday to demand better pay and more resources for a public health sector on the frontline of the COVID-19 epidemic
  • A French cat has survived and recovered from coronavirus infection

Germany

  • German Chancellor on Thursday urged fellow leaders to consider providing further support to multilateral institutions like UN and WHO to speed recovery from the coronavirus crisis; she also said countries should allocate more funding to the IMF to help states that come into short-term financial difficulties

Norway

  • Norway will allow entry to business travelers from all the other Nordic countries from June 1, in a further easing of coronavirus restrictions, the government said on Thursday, making no distinction for Sweden; the new rules mean business travelers arriving from Denmark, Finland, Iceland and Sweden will no longer be subject to a mandatory 10-day quarantine, which is currently the case for almost all arrivals from abroad

Romania

  • Romania will reopen outdoor cafes and restaurants and allow international road and rail travel from June 1, after a two-month lockdown; Romanians will be able to travel between cities without restrictions and outdoor events with up to 500 people will be allowed; non-contact outdoor sporting events can be held without an audience

Russia

  • The Kremlin on Thursday praised Moscow’s authorities after the city reported its lowest daily increase in coronavirus infections since April 23
  • Russia’s Arctic region of Murmansk plans to build a new temporary hospital in a village where a vital liquefied natural gas supply plant is being built after an outbreak of the new coronavirus; official said the Murmansk region, which borders Finland and Norway, must be prepared for a possible second wave of the virus
  • A Siberian zoo that closed its doors to visitors for over two months due to the novel coronavirus says the lockdown has encouraged a baby boom among its animals

Spain

  • Spain’s Valencia region will progress to the next phase of a gradual exit from lockdowns, health minister said on Thursday, moving to phase 2 of a four-stage easing process, in which gatherings of up to 15 people will be allowed and some previous restrictions on movement will be lifted

Switzerland

  • Travelers at Zurich’s airport will encounter robot cleaners, facemask vending machines and extra room to queue for boarding when flight operations resume in earnest as coronavirus curbs ease, officials said on Thursday

Turkey

  • Turkey begun operating intercity trains on Thursday after a two-month gap, as it gradually eases coronavirus curbs in a bid to restore normal life and reopen an economy facing the threat of recession; trains would run at half capacity with no ticket price hikes and passengers would be monitored for virus symptoms

Ukraine

  • Business is thriving for a company manufacturing portable houses in Ukraine as people cooped up in tower blocks under lockdown yearn to live closer to nature; Unitfab, which launched in November, makes a basic house for $55,000 in three months

United Kingdom

  • The coronavirus lockdown will ease next week for most of Britain’s population, PM announced on Thursday; in England, up to six people will be able to meet outside and schools will gradually reopen from next Monday
  • Britain will gradually move towards more localized action to tackle local coronavirus flare-ups, as opposed to the nationwide measures taken so far, Health Secretary said 
  • Employers should pay the wages of anyone told to stay at home by England’s COVID-19 test and trace system, British health minister said; the service is aimed at allowing the loosening of lockdown measures for most people; from Thursday, contacts of those testing positive will need to isolate for 14 days, even if they have no symptoms

United States

  • U.S. senators offered a bipartisan $3 billion plan on Thursday to prepare for the next global health crisis, putting a premium on fighting disease outbreaks and pandemics like COVID-19
  • New York Mayor on Thursday outlined the first steps for reopening the United States’ most populous city, envisioning up to 400,000 people heading back to their workplaces, an easing of the lockdown that began in March; the city’s famed restaurants and bars will remain closed, except for takeout and delivery, but the City Council unveiled legislation to allow outdoor dining to help the industry recover from the economic crisis
  • More than 3,000 U.S. meatpacking workers have tested positive for COVID-19 and at least 44 workers have died, the country’s largest meatpacking union said on Thursday, reflecting an increasing toll on plant employees; meat processors like Tyson, Smithfield Foods and JBS USA temporarily closed about 20 slaughterhouses last month as workers fell ill with the new coronavirus, leading to shortages of certain products in grocery stores
  • New York Governor said he would sign an executive order on Thursday authorizing businesses to deny entry to anyone who does not wear a mask or face covering, stressing masks were critical to preventing the spread of the novel coronavirus
  • The Texas Supreme Court blocked a decision that allowed mail-in balloting for voters who feared for their health because of the novel coronavirus outbreak

European Union

  • The European Commission launched a new global fundraising campaign on Thursday to finance the development and worldwide distribution of testing, vaccines and treatments against COVID-19, seeking to address concerns they may not be equally shared; the new initiative, named “Global Goal: Unite For Our Future”, is meant to raise tens of billions of dollars with private and public donations
  • The European Commission said on Thursday it wanted to set up a permanent reserve of essential drugs and medical equipment to address shortages that have dogged the EU for years and worsened throughout the COVID-19 pandemic; the stockpile would be funded from a new health budget worth 9.4 billion euros ($10.3 billion) which the EU executive commission proposed on Wednesday; the reserve would complement a 380-million-euro emergency stockpile created at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic after many countries in the 27-nation bloc faced acute shortages of face masks, testing kits, ventilators, intensive care drugs and other vital items

 

 

 

 

Best regards,

Sebastian

 

Sebastian Molineus

Regional Director for the South Caucasus

Europe and Central Asia, The World Bank

T: +995 (32) 291 30 96

M:+995 (577) 78 78 21

M: +1 (202) 492 3914

Follow me on Twitter @SMolineus

 

Sent from my iPad


From: Sebastian-A Molineus <smolineus@worldbank.org>
Sent: Thursday, May 21, 2020 11:55:34 AM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <
m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge <nturnava@moesd.gov.ge>; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge <etikaradze@moh.gov.ge>; i.matchavariani@mof.ge <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <
emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge <inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge>; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge <tgabunia@moh.gov.ge>; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: Re: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues - 

 

Please find below and attached the latest WB COVID-19 update for Europe and Central Asia.  The presentation offers some interesting data.  

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (964/31); Andorra (761/51); Armenia (5,271/67); Austria (16,353/633); Azerbaijan (3,631/43); Belarus (32,426/179); Belgium (55,983/9,150); Bosnia and Herzegovina (2,338/136); Bulgaria (2,292/116); Croatia (2,234/96); Czech Republic (8,698/304); Denmark (11,315/554); Djibouti (1,828/9); Estonia (1,794/64); Finland (6,443/304); France (181,700/28,242); Georgia (713/12); Germany (178,170/8,144); Gibraltar (148/4); Greece (2,850/166); Greenland (11/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (3,598/470); Iceland (1,803/10); Ireland (24,315/1,571); Isle of Man (335/24); Italy (227,364/33,106); Jersey (303/28); Kazakhstan (6,969/35); Kosovo (989/29); Kyrgyzstan (1,270/14); Latvia (1,016/21); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,577/60); Luxembourg (3,971/109); Moldova (6,553/228); Monaco (98/5); Montenegro (325/9); Netherlands (44,647/5,767); North Macedonia (1,858/110); Norway (8,281/234); Poland (19,739/962); Portugal (29,660/1,263); Romania (17,387/1,147); Russia (308,705/2,972); San Marino (668/41); Serbia (10,833/235); Slovakia (1,496/28); Slovenia (1,468/105); Spain (239,639/27,888); Sweden (31,523/3,831); Switzerland (30,658/1,892); Tajikistan (2,140/44); Turkey (152,587/4,222); Ukraine (19,230/564); United Kingdom (250,141/35,785); United States (1,541,110/93,119); Uzbekistan (2,939/13)

 

For real time* updates: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response

Russia

  • Russia’s coronavirus outbreak is entering a more stable phase, PM said, while warning that restrictions should be lifted carefully in the 17 regions where such moves have been authorized
  • Russia’s coronavirus cases passed through 300,000 on Wednesday, but with the lowest daily rise in infections since May 1; more patients discharged from hospital than new cases for the first tim
  • Russian efforts to repatriate all North Korean workers have been hampered by the coronavirus outbreak; the complete closure of North Korea’s borders meant workers in Russia have not been sent home

Austria

  • Hundreds of people gathered on Vienna's central Heldenplatz square to protest against the government measures implemented to curb the coronavirus

Croatia

  • Croatia’s President called a parliamentary election for July 5, a statement issued by his office said; the election will pit the ruling Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) against the top opposition Social Democrats (SDP) party

Cyprus

  • Cyprus will reopen its airports on June 9 as it gradually lifts restrictions, the Deputy tourism minister said

Denmark

  • Denmark has asked for a new supply of a quarter million antibody test kits from Chinese diagnostics firm Livzon after a batch of tests proved too inaccurate, healthcare authorities said in a statement

Estonia

  • Estonia has started testing one of the world's first digital immunity passports, according to Back to Work, a coalition of technology firms, medical experts and local government officials developing the app; the device collects testing data and allows people to share their health status with a third party via a temporary QR code

France

  • Riot police were deployed in force as youths set cars ablaze in some low-income housing estates in the Paris suburbs overnight, amid tensions heightened by the coronavirus lockdown; the latest unrest in the banlieues, flared after an 18-year old died last weekend in a motorbike accident in the suburb of Argenteuil
  • The French government will insist on preserving Renault production plants in France and wants it to remain the carmaker’s global center for engineering, research, innovation and development, PM said 

Germany

  • The international community may soon take "further steps" to ease developing nations' debt burden on top of a payments freeze decided last month, German Merkel said
  • The German government banned the use of subcontractors in the meat industry after a string of coronavirus infections among mainly foreign slaughterhouse workers sparked alarm; from January 1, 2021 abattoirs and meat processing plants will have to directly employ their workers, putting an end to the controversial practice of relying on chains of subcontractors to supply laborers from abroad, often from Bulgaria and Romania
  • The German government gave itself new powers to veto hostile foreign takeover bids for healthcare companies, a measure designed to ensure a continuous supply of essential products during the coronavirus crisis; the regulation will allow the government to block foreign takeovers of makers of vaccines, precursor chemicals, medicines, protective equipment or medical machinery such as ventilators

Greece

  • Greece will restart its tourism season on June 15 and gradually restore international flights from July 1 to boost its economy after the virus lockdown, PM said

Ireland

  • Some parts of Ireland’s economy could restart ahead of schedule if the novel coronavirus remains under control, Ireland’s health minister said, expressing cautious optimism of moving into phase two of a reopening plan on June 8

Luxembourg

  • Luxembourg began mass testing for COVID-19 this week with the goal of covering all of its 600,000 people as soon as possible to stave off a second wave of infections following the easing of lockdown measures; the diagnostic tests are voluntary, building up from around 1,500 daily tests to 20,000 a day next month

Netherlands

  • A person who worked on a farm where mink are bred to export their fur contracted the coronavirus from the animals, the Dutch agriculture minister said in a letter to parliament on Wednesday; outbreaks on mink farms in the Netherlands were first reported in April, when keepers noticed some animals having difficulty breathing, prompting a wider investigation

Poland

  • Polish schools are likely to remain closed until the end of June, when children start summer holidays, government spokesman said

Spain

  • Spain's government made it compulsory for everyone older than six to wear masks in indoor public spaces, and outdoor ones when it is impossible to keep more than six feet apart
  • Facing growing political opposition and protests in the street, Spain's PM called for unity as his minority government sought parliament's approval for an extension of the lockdown

Sweden

  • A Swedish study found that just 7.3% of Stockholmers developed COVID-19 antibodies by late April, which could fuel concern that a decision not to lock down Sweden may bring little herd immunity in the near future

Switzerland

  • Switzerland has tasked its defense ministry with securing enough COVID-19 vaccine, amid growing fears that some countries could be left short of supplies when the medicine is eventually produced
  • The government allocated an extra 14.2 billion Swiss francs ($14.70 billion) to help pay for programs for workers who have lost their jobs or are working shorter hours during the pandemic-driven economic crisis 

Turkey

  • Turkey will ease existing 14-day quarantine restrictions for citizens coming from abroad as the country starts softening measures 
  • Turkey does not risk a second wave of infections from the new coronavirus at the moment and it is preparing to start controlled “medical tourism” with 31 countries as of Wednesday, health minister said

Ukraine

  • Ukraine's government has decided to ease nationwide lockdown measures; hotels and public transport will resume operations in cities from May 22, while kindergartens will be allowed to reopen from May 25

United Kingdom

  • PM said that a program to track and trace those suspected of having been in contact with people who have tested positive for COVID-19 would be in place by June 1; the government would have recruited 25,000 trackers by the start of next month, capable of tracing 10,000 new cases a day, when the overall number of daily tests would have reached 200,000
  • Britain’s parliament will require lawmakers to attend in person from June 2, ditching the videoconferencing arrangements which were rushed in last month
  • Cambridge University became one of the first in the world on Wednesday to announce that all its lectures would be delivered online over the next academic year because of the coronavirus outbreak
  • Britain sold a government bond with a negative yield for the first time on Wednesday, meaning the government is effectively being rewarded for borrowing from investors who will be paid less than they lent
  • Britain’s inflation rate sank in April to its lowest since 2016 as the Covid-19 pandemic pushed down oil prices and clothing stores slashed prices, bolstering the prospect of more Bank of England stimulus next month
  • Consumer price inflation dropped to an annual rate of 0.8% from 1.5% in March, official data showed on Wednesday, which was the sharpest one-month fall in over a decade and took inflation further below the BoE’s 2% target; Deputy Governor has said it could drop below zero by the end of 2020
  • Apple and Google said they were in talks with the British government about the technology used in its smart- phone COVID-19 contact tracing app as the two companies released the initial version of their own system

United States

  • The U.S. is considering imposing a ban on travel from Brazil, which has the world’s third highest number of people infected by the novel coronavirus
  • President said he may seek to revive a face-to-face meeting of G7 leaders near Washington, after earlier canceling the in-person gathering of world leaders amid the novel coronavirus pandemic
  • The Labor Department will expand inspections of businesses to reduce job-site hazards related to the new coronavirus as employees begin returning to work across the country
  • The administration said it was indefinitely extending a policy of strict border enforcement because of the COVID-19 outbreak
  • Lawmakers in the House of Representatives plan to vote again next week on giving small businesses more time to utilize their coronavirus aid under the Paycheck Protection Program, House Speaker said on Wednesday
  • New York City residents from low-income communities have tested positive for COVID-19 antibodies at a higher-than-average rate, underscoring the disproportionate impact of the disease on people of color, Governor said
  • The Las Vegas gaming industry will offer COVID-19 tests to employees before they return to work, the Culinary Union announced, moving the hard-hit sector a step closer to reopening; MGM, Caesars and Boyd will participate in the testing plan
  • U.S. nursing homes have been plagued with infection control deficiencies even before the coronavirus pandemic turned them into hotspots for COVID-19, a government report said on Wednesday

 

 

 

Best regards,

Sebastian

 

Sebastian Molineus

Regional Director for the South Caucasus

Europe and Central Asia, The World Bank

T: +995 (32) 291 30 96

M:+995 (577) 78 78 21

M: +1 (202) 492 3914

Follow me on Twitter @SMolineus

 

Sent from my iPad


From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 2:27:00 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <
m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge <nturnava@moesd.gov.ge>; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge <etikaradze@moh.gov.ge>; i.matchavariani@mof.ge <i.matchavariani@mof.ge>
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <
emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge <inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge>; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge <tgabunia@moh.gov.ge>; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge <n.gagua@mof.ge>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

please find below and attached our ninth report on COVID-19 responses in the area of social protection. You will see plenty of news across the adaptations in administration, generosity and coverage; new regional breakdowns; and a special delivery section in partnership with the G2Px initiative, including examining the practicalities of coverage expansion with illustrations from 5 case studies.  Enjoy the read!

 

 

Over the past two months, the number of countries that have planned, introduced or adapted social protection measures in response to COVID-19 has quadrupled – and those measures eightfold. As of today, a total of 181 countries, 10 more than last week, have a total of 870 social protection measures. This week’s new countries and territories include Afghanistan, Maldives, Micronesia, Northern Mariana Islands (US), Papua New Guinea, Qatar, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste, Vanuatu, and West Bank and Gaza.

 

Social assistance transfers are the most widely used class of interventions. These non-contributory programs account for 60.1% of global responses, or 523 measures. Among safety nets, cash transfer programs account for half of intervention by governments, with their 264 COVID-related measures representing one-third (30.3%) of total social protection programs.

 

Both cash-based and in-kind transfers have been growing steadily, with cash accounting for a much larger number of measures. While cash only accounts for half of overall social assistance, this is because other measures such as public works and utility waivers also account for a significant non-cash share (26.5%). Cash-based measures are over twice those of in-kind programs. About 56% of cash transfer measures (148 out of 264) are new programs in 104 countries, while one-fourth of measures (24.6%) are one-off payments. A significant number of new in-kind programs (83) has been also been introduced, accounting for about 69% of total in-kind measures.

 

Cash transfers include programs of various duration. The duration of programs ranges from 1 to 6 months, for an average of 3.1 months. In some cases, programs are tied to the duration of the crisis, hence with uncertain duration. This is the case, for example, in Morocco and Tuvalu.

 

The size of cash transfers is relatively generous. Current transfers account for an average 27% of monthly GDP per capita in respective countries (the highest increase, or 47%, is registered in low income countries). On average, transfers have more than doubled (+134%) compared to average pre-COVID transfer levels (where data is available for a subset of 17 countries). Mongolia’s Child Money Program is increasing benefits from about MVT 10,000 in pre-Covid time to MNT 100,000.

 

More and more adaptation! Increases in benefits among preexisting programs are implemented in 45 countries, including transfer value being increased in 45 programs (e.g., Egypt) and additional payment cycles taking place in 18 programs (e.g., Chile). Various administrative adaptations are occurring in 41 countries. Coverage extension is underway in 157 countries: this includes expanding coverage of existing programs (23 cases) and 362 new social assistance programs (6 of which universal). Combined, those adaptations across administration, generosity and coverage in social assistance benefit over 1.7 billion people (individuals). The same estimate applied only applied to cash transfers lead to an estimated 1.3 billion people benefiting from such adaptations. If we only consider coverage (horizontal expansion) of new and existing cash transfer schemes, these cover an estimated 890 million people.

 

One of immediate challenges to scaling up cash transfers in response to COVID-19 is to accurately expand the list of beneficiaries. A total of 111 countries responding to COVID-19 include an expansion of cash coverage.  The two most common ways of expanding the number of cash transfer recipients are (i) to add households from existing social registries and (ii) accept applications on-line and/or with mobile applications.  A third approach, far less common, is to use the presence or absence in other large databases to identify new eligible individuals or households.  Whichever approach is used, new beneficiaries must be informed that they are eligible for benefits.  The most common method is to use mass communication to instruct people to check their status through an on-line or mobile application.  This process is facilitated when an identifier known to the individual such as mobile phone number or national ID number allows access to this information.  In some cases, an automatic message is sent through the phone provider indicating eligibility status and other program information (e.g. Pakistan and planned in Zimbabwe). New illustrations from Brazil, Ecuador, Jordan, Pakistan and Peru show how coverage expansion is done in practice.

 

In terms of social insurance, there has been a remarkable uptick in measures recently – now including 236 measures in 117 countries. Among the most popular interventions, social security contributions have been waived or subsidized in 56 programs – a level similar to paid sick leave measures (52). Unemployment benefits are present in 69 cases.

 

The number of labor market interventions is over triple digit. Interventions are now a notable 111 in 74 countries. Wage subsidies continue to dominate those interventions. As discussed in the previous editions, there is considerable diversity in generosity and accompanying conditions. Alongside wage subsidies, 14 countries are strengthening their active labor market programs, particularly intermediation services and skills training. Labor market regulations are being adapted in 20 countries.

 

New analysis shows trends and composition in regional measures. ECA has the highest upward trend, with LAC accelerating in recent weeks. Su-Saharan Africa has been on a steady raise, with North America relatively flat. Social assistance accounts for most of Africa’s Covid-related response, with the largest share of social insurance appearing in higher-income countries of North America and ECA. East Asia’s composition shows the highest share of labor market programs globally.

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, May 14, 2020 2:40 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

FYI. the attached ppt. may be of interest as if offers comparative data. 

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (876/31); Andorra (756/48); Armenia (3,538/47); Austria (15,961/623); Azerbaijan (2,693/33); Belarus (24,873/142); Belgium (53,779/8,761); Bosnia and Herzegovina (2,158/117); Bulgaria (2,023/95); Croatia (2,207/91); Czech Republic (8,198/283); Denmark (10,789/533); Estonia (1,746/61); Finland (6,003/275); France (178,349/26,994); Germany (173,034/7,713); Gibraltar (147/4); Greece (2,744/152); Greenland (11/0); Hungary (3,313/425); Iceland (1,801/10); Ireland (23,242/1,488); Isle of Man (330/23); Italy (221,216/30,911); Jersey (294/25); Kazakhstan (5,279/32); Kosovo (884/28); Kyrgyzstan (1,037/12); Latvia (950/18); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,491/50); Luxembourg (3,894/102); Malta (506/5); Moldova (5,154/182); Monaco (98/4); Montenegro (325/9); Netherlands (43,183/5,529); North Macedonia (1,674/92); Norway (8,152/228); Poland (16,921/839); Portugal (27,913/1,163); Romania (15,778/1,002); Russia (232,243/2,116); San Marino (647/41); Serbia (10,176/218); Slovakia (1,465/27); Slovenia (1,461/102); Spain (239,639/26,744); Sweden (27,272/3,313); Switzerland (30,380/1,867); Tajikistan (729/21); Turkey (141,475/3,894); Ukraine (16,023/425); United Kingdom (227,737/32,769); United States (1,359,319/81,805); Uzbekistan (2,519/10)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country response

Spain

  • The number of daily new cases fell on Tuesday to its lowest in more than two months, with 594 reported, bringing the total to 239,639; the number of fatalities rose 176 to 26,920
  • Spain ordered a two-week quarantine on all travelers arriving from abroad from this Friday in a bid to prevent visitors from sparking a second wave of the coronavirus, a move that will further harm a tourism sector already reeling from the epidemic

Austria

  • Austria aims to ease some border controls with Switzerland within days and to end all controls by June, Chancellor said

Bosnia and Herzegovina

  • A senior Bosnian official in charge of procuring medical equipment to combat the coronavirus outbreak was suspended on Tuesday amid a criminal inquiry into the import of ventilators for COVID-19 patients that proved defective

Bulgaria

  • Bulgaria will end its state of emergency on Wednesday, though some restrictions will remain in place and the government will be able to declare an emergency once again if the COVID-19 outbreak escalates, parliament has decided

Denmark

  • Denmark is “very unlikely” to be hit by a second wave of coronavirus, the country’s chief epidemiologist said on Tuesday, after the government laid out plans for increased testing and a contact tracing system

France

  • France’s death toll from the coronavirus rose by 348 to 26,991 on Tuesday, overtaking Spain to become the country with the world’s fourth-highest number of fatalities after the United States, Britain and Italy
  • Across France, primary school pupils on Tuesday sat at least a meter apart in small classes and listened to teachers in masks on their first day back after two months of home-schooling during the coronavirus lockdown
  • French health minister said on Tuesday that parks and gardens would remain closed in Paris and the greater Paris region to limit the risk of a second wave of coronavirus infections

Germany

  • The reproduction rate for the coronavirus pandemic in Germany fell below the critical threshold of 1 to an estimated 0.94 on Tuesday after a 1.07 reading on Monday, the Robert Koch Institute for public health and disease control said

Greece

  • Two migrants who arrived on Greece’s outlying Lesbos island have tested positive for the novel coronavirus, migration ministry sources said on Tuesday, adding they were isolated with no contact with refugee camps on the island

Iceland

  • Iceland expects to start easing restrictions for visitors arriving from overseas no later than June 15; under a plan still being developed by the authorities, travelers would be given a choice between a test for COVID-19 upon arrival in Iceland or a two-week quarantine

Italy    

  • Italy’s coalition parties quarreled on Tuesday over a move to grant permits to irregular migrants working in farms and as careers, in a row that delayed the approval of a stimulus package for the coronavirus-hit economy
  • Deaths climbed by 172 on Tuesday and daily tally of new cases doubled to 1,402, bringing deaths to 30,911 and cases to 221,216

Poland

  • Poland’s main opposition grouping threatened on Tuesday to block planning for a delayed presidential election, accusing the ruling coalition of rushing a voting plan through parliament for political gain

Portugal

  • Portugal is to take in 500 children from Greek refugee camps as soon as restrictions on movement imposed to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak are lifted

Russia

  • Russia on Tuesday reported 10,899 new cases, bringing the nationwide total past Britain to 232,243, the third highest total worldwide; the death toll from the virus rose by 107 people to 2,116
  • Russian President’s spokesman said he had tested positive for the novel coronavirus and was receiving treatment at hospital, becoming the fifth senior official to contract the virus
  • Moscow has begun investigating the safety of a Russian-made medical ventilator, some of which have been sent to the United States, after six people died in hospital fires reported to involve two such machines

Serbia

  • Hundreds of Serbian Orthodox pilgrims used hand sanitizer and wore face masks as they entered the Ostrog Monastery on Tuesday, although some flouted social distancing rules designed to tackle the coronavirus and many kissed the same holy relics and cross

United Kingdom

  • The United Kingdom’s COVID-19 death toll now exceeds 40,000, highest in Europe, amid 227,737 cases
  • A woman who worked at one of London’s busiest rail stations has died after having previously been spat at by a man who said he had the new coronavirus, her union said on Tuesday

Vatican

  • Pope Francis praised the work of nurses around the world on Tuesday, saying the coronavirus crisis had shown how vital their service is, as he appealed to governments to invest more in healthcare

United States

  • Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives on Tuesday unveiled a $3 trillion-plus coronavirus relief package with funding for states, businesses, food support and families, only to see the measure flatly rejected by Senate Republicans
  • U.S. government officials are concerned that dual U.S.-Mexico citizens may flee to the United States if the coronavirus outbreak in Mexico gets worse, putting more stress on U.S. hospitals, especially near the border, officials said
  • Leading U.S. infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci on Tuesday warned Congress that a premature lifting of lockdowns could lead to additional outbreaks of the deadly coronavirus
  • Restaurants in parts of California can host sit-down dining, and shopping malls throughout the state can open for curbside pickup as coronavirus restrictions ease, Governor said

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, May 07, 2020 7:36 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

FYI.

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (832/31); Andorra (753/46); Armenia (2,782/40); Austria (15,684/608); Azerbaijan (2,127/28); Belarus (19,255/112); Belgium (50,781/8,339); Bosnia and Herzegovina (1,987/86); Bulgaria (1,778/84); Croatia (2,119/85); Cyprus (883/20); Czech Republic (7,933/262); Denmark (10,136/506); Estonia (1,713/55); Faroe Islands (187/0); Finland (5,573/252); France (170,694/25,538); Georgia (610/9); Germany (167,575/7,190); Gibraltar (144/4); Greece (2,663/147); Greenland (11/0); Holy See (12/0); Hungary (3,111/373); Iceland (1,799/10); Ireland (22,248/1,375); Isle of Man (326/23); Italy (214,457/29,684); Jersey (293/24); Kazakhstan (4,422/30); Kosovo (856/27); Kyrgyzstan (871/12); Latvia (900/17); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,449/48); Luxembourg (3,851/98); Moldova (4,476/143); Monaco (98/4); Montenegro (324/8); Netherlands (41,518/5,221); North Macedonia (1,539/88); Norway (7,976/216); Poland (14,740/733); Portugal (26,182/1,089); Romania (14,107/864); Russia (165,929/1,537); San Marino (608/41); Serbia (9,677/200); Slovakia (1,429/25); Slovenia (1,448/99); Spain (239,639/25,613); Sweden (23,918/2,941); Switzerland (30,060/1,805); Tajikistan (379/8); Turkey (131,744/3,584); Ukraine (13,184/327); United Kingdom (202,356/30,150); United States (1,219,952/72,617); Uzbekistan (2,233/10)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response 

United Kingdom

  • PM said on Wednesday the situation in care homes had improved, after his health minister denied Britain had prioritized hospitals over many elderly people in homes in its fight against the coronavirus outbreak
  • A new government goal of reaching reach 200,000 tests by the end of the month announced by PM is an operational target to increase capacity and widen its COVID-19 testing program, his spokesman said on Wednesday
  • PM said on Wednesday his government would set out details of its plan to ease a lockdown against coronavirus on Sunday, hoping that some measures could come into force the next day

Belgium

  • Belgian shops will be allowed to open from next Monday and people will be able to host others at their homes from Sunday, opening the door for Mother’s Day celebrations, PM said
  • As Belgium obliges people to wear face masks on public transport and recommends them elsewhere to limit the spread of the coronavirus, deaf people are calling for transparent masks to allow them to communicate with others

Czech Republic

  • Immunity to the novel coronavirus is building up very slowly in the Czech Republic, with no more than 4-5% of the population likely to be covered, the health ministry said on Wednesday, after mass testing for antibodies that started last month

Denmark

  • Danish shopping malls, cafes and restaurants will be allowed to open next Monday and older children will return to school in the second phase of Denmark’s reopening from its coronavirus lockdown, under a government proposal set to be debated shortly

France

  • French president promised guaranteed stipends for out-of-work actors and money for filmmakers whose productions have been cancelled, as part of a bailout for an arts industry shut down by the coronavirus

Germany

  • Chancellor announced steps on Wednesday to ease the coronavirus lockdown in Germany but at the same time launched an “emergency brake” mechanism allowing for renewed restrictions in case infections pick up again
  • The German federal government and the states have agreed that all shops and amateur open-air sports can restart under certain conditions and states will each decide on a gradual opening of various aspects of public life, a draft document showed

Iceland

  • Iceland has all but eliminated the coronavirus outbreak as 97% of infected patients have recovered and only two new cases have been confirmed in the last week, the government said in a statement

Italy    

  • Elderly mobsters recently let out of jail over fears they might catch the new coronavirus in Italy’s overcrowded prisons may soon be put back behind bars, justice jinister said
  • Deaths from the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy climbed by 369 on Wednesday and the daily tally of new infections also rose by 1,444.; the total death toll stands at 29,684 and the number of confirmed cases amounts to 214,457

Kazakhstan

  • The spread of the novel coronavirus in Kazakhstan has slowed in recent days, the Central Asian nation’s government said on Wednesday, indicating it could exit a state of emergency next week

Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia

  • Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia will open their borders to each others’ citizens from May 15, creating a Baltic “travel bubble” within the European Union amid an easing of pandemic restrictions, their PMs said on Wednesday

Netherlands

  • The Netherlands has joined several European countries in announcing the easing of its coronavirus lockdown, outlining a four-month plan to phase out social restrictions if the virus remains under control
  • A Dutch restaurant has come up with an idea on how to offer classy outdoor dining in the age of coronavirus - small glass cabins built for two or three people, creating intimate cocoons on a public patio

Poland

  • Poland’s ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party and its junior coalition partner have reached a deal to postpone the May 10 presidential vote and hold it at a later date via postal ballots, the two groupings said in a statement
  • EU said Poland must ensure “free and fair” elections, as the country is locked in a spiraling political crisis over a presidential vote due this Sunday

Russia

  • The number of new coronavirus cases in Russia rose by 10,559, bringing the nationwide tally to 165,929, the fourth consecutive day that cases had risen by more than 10,000; 86 new fatalities from COVID-19 reported, bringing the total death toll in Russia to 1,537
  • Moscow mayor said on Wednesday the outbreak of the coronavirus had stabilized over the past two weeks, with the growth in cases corresponding to an increase in testing, but said self-isolation should continue; 
  • President said he supported proposals by Moscow mayor to gradually ease some restrictions aimed at preventing the spread of the novel coronavirus
  • Russian foreign minister and his British counterpart discussed relations between Moscow and London and voiced intention to improve cooperation, the Russian foreign ministry said on Wednesday
  • Russia plans to ease its restrictions aimed at curbing the spread of the novel coronavirus in three stages; the plan outlines that at first, people will be allowed to go for walks and exercise on the streets, and at the second stage would see educational establishments and some service-sector businesses return to operation, with recreational facilities including parks and squares then reopening in the third stage
  • A cruise ship has arrived in Russia’s northwesterly Murmansk region to accommodate healthy staff from a construction site run by the gas company Novatek, one of Russia’s coronavirus hotspots
  • Russia’s culture minister has tested positive for the coronavirus, becoming the third confirmed member of the cabinet to catch the disease

Slovakia

  • Slovakia reopened restaurant terraces, hotels, all shops outside large malls and other businesses on Wednesday, expediting plans to revive the economy thanks to better-than-expected progress in containing the coronavirus outbreak

Spain

  • Spanish PM secured enough parliamentary votes on Wednesday to extend a state of emergency for two more weeks, allowing the government to control people’s movements as it gradually relaxes a national lockdown

Turkey

  • Turkey said on Wednesday it has brought the coronavirus outbreak under control, two months after it first erupted across the country, and will set out new social guidelines and business practices to prevent any resurgence
  • The number of people who have died from COVID-19 in Turkey has risen by 64 to 3,584, and the overall number of cases rose by 2,253 to 131,744

Vatican

  • Pope Francis said on Wednesday employers must respect the dignity of workers, particularly migrants, despite economic difficulties brought on by the coronavirus crisis

United States

  • The United States will provide $225 million in emergency aid to Yemen to support food programs, as aid groups there are forced to scale down operations due to Houthi interference and amid a spreading coronavirus outbreak
  • New members of coronavirus task force will be announced soon, as its focus turns to medical treatments and easing restrictions on businesses and social life
  • U.S. cities that have idled mass transit during coronavirus lockdowns are turning to an unusual partner to get essential workers to hospitals, warehouses and factories: ride-hailing company Uber
  • Two of the largest Roman Catholic archdioceses in America are opening up eight cemeteries for visitors in the New York City area, after closing them weeks ago due to the new coronavirus pandemic
  • Health officials in the U.S. state of Illinois’ Cook County, which includes the city of Chicago, will probe deaths involving heart attacks and pneumonia for indications of COVID-19 as far back as November, a county spokeswoman said on Wednesday
  • Three-quarters of Americans would take a coronavirus vaccine after receiving certain assurances that it was safe, and another 9% would take one as soon as it was available, a recent poll showed
  • In this year’s mostly virtual commencement ceremonies, thousands of American graduates are adorning their mortarboards with the slogan “Gowns 4 Good” after donating their gowns to healthcare workers fighting the coronavirus pandemic to use as personal protective equipment

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Wednesday, May 06, 2020 3:52 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues – please find attached our COVID-19 compendium of trends & developments in key countries across the world. 

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Albania (820/31); Andorra (753/46); Angola (36/2); Armenia (2,619/40); Austria (15,650/606); Azerbaijan (2,060/26); Belarus (18,350/107); Belgium (50,509/8,016); Bosnia and Herzegovina (1,946/79); Bulgaria (1,704/80); Croatia (2,112/83); Czech Republic (7,878/254); Denmark (10,019/503); Estonia (1,711/55); Finland (5,412/246); France (169,583/25,204); Georgia (604/9); Germany (166,696/6,993); Gibraltar (144/4); Greece (2,642/146); Greenland (11/0); Hungary (3,065/363); Iceland (1,799/10); Ireland (21,983/1,339); Isle of Man (325/23); Italy (213,013/29,315); Jersey (293/24); Kazakhstan (4,205/29); Kosovo (855/27); Kyrgyzstan (843/11); Latvia (896/17); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,449/46); Luxembourg (3,840/96); Malta (482/5); Moldova (4,363/136); Monaco (98/4); Montenegro (324/8); Netherlands (41,286/5,185); North Macedonia (1,526/86); Norway (7,928/215); Poland (14,431/716); Romania (13,837/841); Russia (155,370/1,451); San Marino (589/41); Serbia (9,557/197); Slovakia (1,421/25); Slovenia (1,445/98); Spain (239,639/25,428); Sweden (23,216/2,854); Switzerland (30,009/1,795); Tajikistan (293/7); Turkey (129,491/3,520); Ukraine (12,697/316); United Kingdom (196,239/29,502); United States (1,199,238/70,646); Uzbekistan (2,207/10)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response 

United Kingdom

  • The United Kingdom has overtaken Italy to report the highest official death toll from the new coronavirus in Europe, figures released on Tuesday showed, increasing pressure on Prime Minister Boris Johnson over his response to the crisis
  • PM will consider evidence provided by scientists at a review on Thursday before taking any decision on the next steps against the coronavirus outbreak, his spokesman said on Tuesday
  • Ramping up COVID-19 testing earlier would have helped the United Kingdom by allowing it to trace the contacts of those infected with the novel coronavirus, the government’s top scientific advisers told a parliamentary committee on Tuesday

Austria

  • Austria’s first loosening of its coronavirus lockdown three weeks ago, in which thousands of shops reopened, has not led to a new spike in infections, though further vigilance is necessary, its health minister said on Tuesday

Croatia

  • Croatia’s conservative ruling party will seek a parliamentary election during the summer depending on the evolution of the coronavirus outbreak, one of its top officials said on Tuesday

France

  • French President said it was unlikely that French people would be able to undertake major foreign trips this summer and that even trips within Europe may have to be limited in order to reduce the risk of a resurgence of the coronavirus epidemic
  • France accused Apple on Tuesday of undermining its effort to fight the coronavirus by refusing to help make its iPhones more compatible with a planned “StopCovid” contact-tracing app
  • Beekeepers in France are celebrating a bumper spring honey harvest after weeks of warm weather but will need a smooth unwinding of the coronavirus lockdown if they are to find a market for their produce

Germany

  • The reproduction rate for the coronavirus pandemic in Germany is currently estimated at 0.71, the head of public health authority RKI said on Tuesday; the number indicates that 100 infected people infect on average 71 others, meaning the number of new infections would fall over time
  • Germany on Monday announced a deal with Roche to get 3 million of the blood tests in May and 5 million every month thereafter
  • Germany is considering “immunity passports” after securing millions of antibody tests from Swiss drugmaker Roche; however, the health minister said that Germany could only allow coronavirus antibody tests to help determine how freely people can move once it has advice from its ethics council

Italy    

  • Italy’s PM said on Tuesday foreign policy had not shifted after the country received aid for the coronavirus emergency from both China and Russia, in a response to an interview with U.S. Defense Secretary
  • Italy plans to give work permits to thousands of irregular migrants to help farms deal with the COVID-19 epidemic that has cut the flow of cheap labor from abroad, a political source said on Tuesday

Netherlands

  • The mayor of The Hague on Tuesday issued a statement ordering police to break up a demonstration by around 200 people who had gathered to protest against measures ordered by the government to slow the country’s coronavirus outbreak
  • The Dutch government has purchased 1 million antibody tests, the health minister said on Tuesday

Poland

  • The Polish Senate on Tuesday rejected government-sponsored legislation that would allow for a postal vote during a presidential election scheduled for May 10, in a widely anticipated decision

Russia

  • The number of coronavirus cases in Russia has risen by 10,102 to 155,370; tt also reported 95 new deaths, bringing the total death toll to 1,451

Spain

  • Spain reported its third day in a row of coronavirus deaths under 200, but a record number of people claiming social security benefits for April showed the cost to the economy of bringing the epidemic under control; the country now has 239,639 cases and 25,428 deaths

Turkey

  • The number of people who have died from COVID-19 in Turkey has risen by 59 to 3,520 and the overall number of cases rose by 1,832 to 129,491
  • Turkey will start easing coronavirus containment measures this week, President said, lifting inter-city travel restrictions in seven provinces and easing a curfew imposed on senior and youth citizens
  • All main Turkish automotive factories will resume operations as of May 11, industry minister said, a day after President announced a normalization period to restart the economy following the coronavirus outbreak

Ukraine

  • The mayor of a town in central Ukraine has unilaterally decided to ease lockdown restrictions, causing a row with President’s government as it seeks to avoid a second wave of novel coronavirus infections

United States

  • The U.S. Justice Department on Tuesday brought its first criminal charges against people it accused of defrauding the $660 billion Paycheck Protection Program aimed at dulling the coronavirus pandemic’s heavy hit on the economy
  • A bipartisan group of Senators in the United States has introduced legislation in Congress that would allow 40,000 immigrant doctors and nurses to gain visas and work permits and join the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic
  • The White House is having preliminary talks about when to wind down its coronavirus task force and may start moving coordination of the U.S. response on to federal agencies in late May, Vice President said
  • President on Tuesday outlined policies he suggested Congress should consider as it weighs a possible fourth round of coronavirus relief legislation, including payroll tax cuts and a business expense deduction
  • New York will work with the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to “reimagine” the state’s school system as part of broader reforms in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, Governor said on Tuesday
  • A new forecast projects nearly 135,000 deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States through the beginning of August mainly due to reopening measures under way, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington said on Monday
  • The U.S. government has sent Mexico a plane loaded with ventilators to treat coronavirus patients, as part of an agreement between U.S. and Mexico leaders
  • Texas announced that nail and hair salons, and barbershops can open on Friday, while gyms and office buildings can open on May 18 with restrictions, in a partial easing of restrictions prompted by the coronavirus outbreak
  • COVID-19 hits African-Americans hardest in ‘potential catastrophe of inequality’, US study finds; infection rate is 80 percent higher than among Caucasians, with other ethnic minorities also more likely to contract disease and the finding highlights social divide and inequalities between the communities and could be happening in other U.S. cities

 

A close up of a map

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Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus <smolineus@worldbank.org>
Sent: Monday, May 04, 2020 8:52 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; n.gagua@mof.ge
Subject: Re: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues - in case you have not yet seen, the link below is the UK government’s draft plan to ease the lockdown measures in the workplace.  As it is rather detailed there may be a number of ideas of interest to your own plans. 


From: Sebastian-A Molineus <smolineus@worldbank.org>
Sent: Monday, May 4, 2020 17:35
To: Maya Tskitishvili; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge; 'i.matchavariani@mof.ge'
Cc: 'n.gagua@mof.ge'; Ekaterine Mikabadze; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov; Lire Ersado; Abdulaziz Faghi; Jan Van Bilsen
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

FYI, attached a presentation on lessons-learned to ensure for adherence to COVID-19 guidelines. More concretely, the presentation focuses on how to ensure for effective communication campaigns and better leverage existing cash transfer programs to this end.   

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Sunday, May 03, 2020 4:28 PM
To: 'Maya Tskitishvili' <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; 'etikaradze@moh.gov.ge' <etikaradze@moh.gov.ge>; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: n.gagua@mof.ge; 'Ekaterine Mikabadze' <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; 'inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge' <inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge>; 'tgabunia@moh.gov.ge' <tgabunia@moh.gov.ge>; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

Please find attached the World Bank’s weekly update on Social Protection measures across the world.  Please, note, that the matrix of country interventions has been modernized/revamped to offer a more user-friendly experience, preceded by a rapid “country at a glance” overview of key measures in place. Lots of action in 159 countries (8 more since last week). A remarkable uptick of measures in social insurance, in addition to social safety net and labor.


At the bottom of this message you will further find an update on broader COVID-19 trends & developments globally.

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

159 x 752 As of today, a total of 159 countries (8 more since last week) have planned, introduced or adapted 752 social protection measures in response to COVID-19. This is over a triple in the number of countries and an eight-fold increase in measures since the first edition of this living paper (March 20). This week’s new entries include Congo, Dominica, Gambia, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Turks and Caicos, and Tuvalu.

 

32.4% Cash transfers include a mix of both new and pre-existing programs of various duration and generosity. Cash transfers include 244 COVID-related measures representing one-third (32.4%) of total COVID-related social protection programs. About 59% of cash transfer measures (122 out of 207) are new programs in 89 countries, while one-fourth of measures (26%) are one-off payments. The average duration of transfers is 2.9 months. The size of transfers is relatively generous, or 25% of monthly GDP per capita in respective countries. On average, transfers increased by 88% compared to average pre-COVID transfer levels (where data is available for a subset of 14 countries).

 

3 Social assistance is being adapted in three ways. This includes expanding coverage, increasing benefits, and making administrative requirements simpler and more user-friendly. Combined, those adaptations in social assistance benefit over 1.48 billion people (individuals). Specifically, for cash transfers administrative adaptations are occurring in 27 countries. Their coverage extension is underway in 87 countries: this includes expanding coverage of existing programs (7 countries) and providing new programs in, as mentioned, 89 countries. Combined, those adaptations across administration, generosity and coverage in cash transfers benefit over 1.06 billion people. If we only consider coverage (horizontal expansion) of new and existing cash transfer schemes, these cover an estimated 566.5 million people.

 

143% Cash transfer programs are more than doubling in coverage, including an average of 143% in scale up levels. Preliminary analysis for a subset of cash transfer programs with comparable data allowed to estimate the scale up of programs relative to pre-COVID19 levels. Countries like the Philippines and El Salvador are quadrupling their coverage (in the case of Philippines also via multiple new programs), while even countries in Africa like Mauritania are almost doubling coverage.

 

200+ In terms of social insurance, there has been a remarkable uptick in measures recently – now breaking the ceiling of 200 measures. Gustavo Demarco, guest co-author for this edition, provides us with an overview of key issues and trends in social insurance in COVID-response

 

50%+ Labor market interventions remain a key area of action. Wage subsidies continue to dominate those interventions, including accounting for over half of the LM portfolio. Our guest co-author Indhira Santos explores the variety of ways in which those subsidies are being implemented across countries, as well as broader issues in the world of labor market COVID interventions.

 

0.6% What is the full level of investment going into social protection COVID-19 response? Our preliminary estimates indicate a level slightly higher than half-trillion (567 billion) in US dollars. Social assistance spending equals $539 billion, $488 of which in HICs. For the moment, LIC are investing $247 million in social assistance, while MICs about $50 billion ($23 billion of which in India). Defined in these terms, the overall global volume of social protection response to COVID-19 is 0.6% of global GDP (nearly $85 trillion).

 

-------------------------------------------

This and previous 143 links editions are available online here

 

 

Country updates:

 

All countries and territories affected (cases/deaths):* Armenia (2,148/33); Austria (15,531/589); Azerbaijan (1,854/24); Belarus (14,917/93); Belgium (49,032/7,703); Bosnia and Herzegovina (1,781/70); Bulgaria (1,555/68); Croatia (2,085/75); Cyprus (857/20); Czech Republic (7,726/240); Denmark (9,509/460); Estonia (1,694/52); Finland (5,051/218); France (169,053/24,594); Georgia (566/6); Germany (163,855/6,670); Gibraltar (144/4); Greece (2,612/140); Greenland (11/0); Holy See (11/0); Hungary (2,863/323); Iceland (1,798/10); Ireland (20,833/1,265); Isle of Man (315/22); Italy (207,428/28,236); Jersey (290/23); Kazakhstan (3,551/25); Kosovo (806/22); Kyrgyzstan (756/8); Latvia (870/15); Liechtenstein (83/1); Lithuania (1,449/45); Luxembourg (3,802/92); Malta (467/4); Moldova (3,980/122); Monaco (98/4); Montenegro (322/7); Netherlands (39,988/4,893); North Macedonia (1,494/81); Norway (7,770/210); Poland (13,105/651); Portugal (25,351/1,007); Romania (12,567/744); Russia (114,431/1,169); San Marino (580/41); Serbia (9,009/179); Slovakia (1,403/23); Slovenia (1,434/92); Spain (239,639/24,543); Sweden (21,520/2,653); Switzerland (29,705/1,754); Tajikistan (15/0); Turkey (122,392/3,258); Ukraine (10,861/272); United Kingdom (177,454/27,510); US (1,094,640/64,324); Uzbekistan (2,075/9)

 

For real time* updates:  https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

 

*Please note there may be a lag in reporting.

 

Country Response 

Italy    

·       Deaths from the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy climbed by 269 on Friday to 28,236 and the number of confirmed cases reaches 207,428; there are 100,943 active cases, of which 1,578 people are in intensive care and 78,249 have recovered

·       PM apologized on Friday to millions of struggling Italians who have yet to receive long-promised financial aid meant to help them get through the coronavirus crisis

Azerbaijan

·       Azerbaijan has extended partial lockdown measures until May 31

Czech Republic

·       The Czech Republic outlined rules on Friday for cinemas, hairdressers and other businesses to re-open on May 11; however, food and drinks are banned at the movies; hairstylists will need to wear both a mask and a protective shield, and manicurists and pedicurists must also wear gloves, with their customers must keep two meters apart

France

·       President warned on Friday that the end of the national lockdown on May 11 would only be a first step as France looks to move out of the crisis created by the outbreak of the coronavirus

Greece

·       Greek workers and students wearing masks and gloves lined up outside parliament to commemorate May Day, defying a government ban on movement imposed to fight the coronavirus

Hungary

·       Hungary needs to prepare for a potential second wave of coronavirus cases in October and November after a likely slowdown in the outbreak’s infection rate in the summer, PM said

Ireland

·       Ireland on Friday announced the first small steps to easing restrictions to slow the spread of the coronavirus and laid out a roadmap for a gradual re-opening of the economy over the coming months if the virus can be kept under control

·       Ireland’s cabinet is currently agreeing to a slight easing of coronavirus restrictions that will allow those aged over 70 to go outside of their homes

Portugal

·       Hundreds gathered in Portugal’s capital Lisbon on Friday to celebrate Labor Day, observing strict social distancing rules in a smaller-than-usual event to show solidarity with those left jobless due to the coronavirus outbreak

Russia

·       Russia on Friday reported a record daily rise in the number of confirmed coronavirus cases, with 7,933 cases reported, bringing the total to 114,431; 96 people had died, raising the death toll up to 1,169

Spain

·       Spain’s coronavirus death toll rose to 24,824 on Friday as 281 more people died; the number of cases rose to a total 215,216

·       Spain closed a giant temporary hospital in Madrid that had become a symbol of its fight against the coronavirus pandemic on Friday and people prepared to emerge from their homes for walks in the street after seven weeks of strict lockdown

Turkey

·       The number of people who have died from COVID-19 in Turkey has risen by 84 to 3,258, and 2,188 new cases has brought the total number of cases to 122,392

United Kingdom

·       Britain has hit its target of carrying out 100,000 COVID-19 tests a day, health minister said on Friday, stressing that the program was crucial to helping ease a national lockdown; 122,347 tests were conducted on Friday

·       Many Britons would be uncomfortable leaving their homes even if the government ordered the lifting lockdown restrictions in a month’s time, according to a poll on Friday

·       People from some ethnic minorities in Britain are dying in disproportionate numbers from COVID-19, possibly in part because they are more likely to work in healthcare and other sectors most exposed to the virus, a leading think tank said on Friday

United States

·       The U.S. Navy hospital ship Comfort departed New York harbor, just a month after arriving to help ease the strain on overburdened city hospitals dealing with the novel coronavirus outbreak

·       U.S. manufacturing activity plunged to an 11-year low in April as the novel coronavirus wreaked havoc on supply chains, suggesting the economy was sinking deeper into recession

·       Treasury said private schools with significant endowments and have taken loans from the coronavirus stimulus law should return them

·       A report released by CDC highlighted four main factors that accelerated transmission in March: 1) continued importation of the virus by travelers infected elsewhere, such as on cruise ships; 2) attendance at professional and social events, which amplified the spread; 3) introduction of the virus into facilities prone to amplification, including nursing homes and high-density urban areas; 4) problems detecting virus, including limited testing, the virus’ emergence during flu season, and “cryptic transmission” from people who were asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic

·       More than 4,900 workers in meat and poultry processing facilities have contracted Covid-19 and at least 20 have died, according to CDC report released Friday

·       New York Governor said all state schools would stay closed for the rest of the academic year due to the coronavirus pandemic, even as hospitalizations and the daily death toll fell to their lowest levels in more than a month

·       New York City’s subway is taking the unprecedented step of halting overnight service in order to clean train cars, a likely prelude to bigger changes as the largest U.S. mass transit system works to rebound from a pandemic that has slashed ridership

·       Hundreds of demonstrators gathered in Huntington Beach, California, a day after the governor announced an order to close all beaches in Orange County

 

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, April 30, 2020 8:08 PM
To: Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: n.gagua@mof.ge; Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

FYI and I trust you will find this COVID-19 update on how other countries are addressing/ leading their response to the pandemic useful.

 

Country Response 

Italy    

  • Italian PM defended himself on Tuesday from widespread criticism of his highly cautious plans for a slow-placed end to Europe’s longest coronavirus lockdown
  • Workers in face masks laid the final section of a new viaduct in Genoa on Tuesday, as Italy’s prime minister paid tribute to the 43 people killed when the road bridge it is replacing collapsed less than two years ago

Austria

  • Austria will take further steps to ease its lockdown on Friday, allowing events with up to 10 people and instructing the public they no longer need a specific reason to leave home, the government said on Tuesday

Czech Republic

  • The lower house of the Czech parliament voted on Tuesday to extend a state of emergency until May 17, a week less than the government had sought, as the country charts a course to emerge from a coronavirus lockdown earlier than forecast

France

  • France will begin to ease its coronavirus lockdown from May 11 to avoid an economic meltdown, PM said on Tuesday, but he warned that infections would spiral higher again if the country moved too swiftly
  • France will implement a new doctrine on COVID-19 testing from May 11 with the aim of testing everyone who has come into contact with people who are infected, and the government had set the goal of carrying out at least 700,000 tests per week
  • The French parliament will not discuss government plans for a coronavirus contact-tracing app during Tuesday’s debate about the end of the lockdown period
  • French secondary school pupils returning to school next month after a coronavirus lockdown will be required to wear masks
  • Non-essential French retailers can re-open their doors from May 11, but they will have the right to insist that shoppers wear masks on the premises

Germany

  • Governments should focus on climate protection when considering fiscal stimulus packages to support an economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, German Chancellor said

Greece

  • Greek PM said restrictions on citizens’ movements would be lifted and more shops allowed to reopen from May 4 in a gradual easing of a lockdown imposed to curb the spread of the new coronavirus

Hungary

  • Hungary’s government plans to ease the lockdown and has outlined of the plans on Tuesday; starting next week, smaller retail outlets may open and over the course of May, a gradual opening of hotels, restaurants and coffee shops may follow

Portugal

  • President said Portugal’s lockdown will be lifted gradually from May 3

Romania

  • A parliament election in Romania scheduled for late November or early December might not take place this year unless the new coronavirus spread is contained, President said

Russia

  • President extended coronavirus lockdown measures for another two weeks on Tuesday, while ordering his government to begin preparations for a gradual lifting of the curbs from mid-May

Spain

  • Spanish PM announced on Tuesday a four-phase plan to lift the lockdown with an aim to return to normality by the end of June; the lifting of the strict measures will begin on May 4 and vary from region to region depending on factors such as how the rate of infection evolves, the number of intensive care beds available locally and how regions comply with distancing rules, he said
  • On the tourism-dependent Spanish island of Mallorca, a total shutdown of hotels due to the coronavirus outbreak has destroyed livelihoods across the sector, from reception staff to farmers who provide food for restaurants

Turkey

  • Turkey’s government aims to begin reviving the economy in late May after a sharp slowdown due to measures to contain the coronavirus outbreak, while minimizing the risk of a second wave of infections, a senior official said on Tuesday
  • The traditional lighting that hangs between the minarets of Turkish mosques, usually packed for evening prayers in the holy month of Ramadan, is urging Turks to stay at home this year as the country battles the coronavirus pandemic

United Kingdom

  • Some children in the United Kingdom with no underlying health conditions have died from a rare inflammatory syndrome which researchers believe to be linked to COVID-19, Health Secretary said
  • Britain is not yet at the point of wanting to change its strict guidelines on social distancing to curb the spread of COVID-19, with the government focusing on reviewing the measures by May 7, PM said on Tuesday
  • Scotland’s First Minister has urged people to start wearing a face mask if they are in enclosed places such as public transport and shops, diverging for now from the official advice from London

Vatican

  • Pope Francis urged people to obey rules aimed at preventing a devastating second wave of infections as their leaders begin to ease coronavirus lockdowns

United States

  • A Turkish military plane carrying medical supplies and protective equipment was heading for the United States on Tuesday to deliver aid
  • Lawmakers in the House of Representatives will not return to Washington next week as planned, due to the continuing risk of coronavirus infection, Democratic leaders said on Tuesday, in a reversal of plans outlined only a day earlier
  • U.S is considering having passengers on international flights from coronavirus hot spots be tested for the virus
  • U.S meat processing plants facing concerns about coronavirus outbreaks may stay open to protect the country’s food supply, a senior administration official said
  • Tourists and other visitors to the U.S Capitol and adjacent congressional offices will continue to be suspended until May 16, Senate and House of Representatives officials said
  • New York Governor said that new hospitalizations for the novel coronavirus dropped to a one-month low and laid out a plan to employ thousands of case investigators under criteria for reopening his state
  • Detroit residents waited for hours on Tuesday to get free COVID-19 tests at a new facility that for the first time offered testing to people who did not already have symptoms of the disease and a doctor’s authorization for the test
  • Some California workplaces, schools and childcare facilities can gradually reopen once the state improves coronavirus testing and contact tracing, the state’s health officer said
  • Ohio was holding nominating contests largely by mail on Tuesday after voting originally scheduled for March 17 was delayed and in-person balloting curtailed, as the coronavirus pandemic further disrupted the U.S election season
  • YouTube said it would start showing text and links from third-party fact-checkers to U.S viewers, part of efforts to curb misinformation of COVID-19 on the site
  • As Detroit’s automakers seek to restart their U.S plants during the coronavirus pandemic, two health experts advising Michigan’s governor and the United Auto Workers union warned against an over-reliance on masks and face shields to keep workers safe
  • Fewer than half of Americans plan to go to sports events, concerts, movies and amusement parks when they reopen to the public until there is a proven coronavirus vaccine, according to a recent poll

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 5:16 PM
To: i.matchavariani@mof.ge; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; Mikheil Chkhenkeli <mchkhenkeli@mes.gov.ge>; Maya Tskitishvili <m.tskitishvili@mrdi.gov.ge>
Cc: n.gagua@mof.ge; Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

I trust you all had a nice Easter weekend with your families.  For this coming week, please find below a series of publications and good practice notes prepared by the World Bank.  I trust you will forward these to your teams and other relevant government departments preparing the government’s policy responses; please do let me know if you would like for me to incl. others in this distribution list (I try to target as much as possible to avoid spamming you with emails). 

 

More concretely:

  • Phase 2 support: The first is a longer publication (“COVID-19 Policy Response.pdf”), which sets out to advise governments as they prepare for the second phase of the response to COVID-19, focusing on social protection and economic recovery.  This note addresses issues of interconnection between sectoral and thematic themes, prioritization and sequencing of policies, and presents different policy response options to countries based on their profile and conditions.
  • Education: The second is a paper entitled “COVID-19 Education Shocks and Policy Responses”.  I also attach a ppt titled “Plan Edu GP and COVID19 Operational support April 15” that summarizes country policy responses and possible World Bank operational responses in the three stages of: (i) coping; (ii) managing continuity; and (iii) improvement/acceleration. 
  • Social protection: I also attach a blog by our Global Director for Social Protection on how social protection can help countries cope with COVID-19: https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/how-social-protection-can-help-countries-cope-covid-19.  Attached as well is the latest update on Social Protection measures being taken across the globe (titled: “Country SP COVID responses_April17.pdf”).
  • COVID-19 and the digital agenda: Please further see attached a document (“ICT_Response(Flattening the curve on COVID-19.pdf”) on how Korea responded to a pandemic using information and communication technology.  I believe there is a major opportunity to use the current crisis for Georgia to fully transition to the digital economy, i.e. to digitize govt. service delivery, embrace the FinTech agenda, as well as e-health agenda.    
  • Support to distressed businesses: A global compendium of reform measures taken by 38 countries on fiscal and regulatory relief being provided in support of distressed SMEs and large corporates, which you can find here (see interactive map) and on our WB Finance and Coronavirus (COVID-19) webpage. 
  • COVID-19 and trade: A note (“COVID-19 Trade Watch – April 2020.pdf”) tracking country and industry patterns, the depth of the decline of trade, and the eventual reversal.  Of note is the beginning of a dramatic drop in international trade as a result of COVID-19. The trade slowdown, initially most evident in China, is increasingly spreading to other regions.
  • Support to tourism: And finally, here is a paper on the impact and policy responses for the tourism sector during the COVID-19 pandemic.  https://worldbankgroup.sharepoint.com/sites/gge/Documents/COVID-19%20Response%20Documents/200403%20FCI%20Sector%20Note%20-%20Tourism%20and%20COVID%2019%20Key%202%20Pager%20CLEAN%20copy_Martha%20JP%20rev.pdf?deliveryName=DM11151

 

The OECD has created a useful Country Policy Tracker system that summarizes health, fiscal and social measures.  It is updated daily and includes developing countries as well. http://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/en/#key-impacts

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, April 10, 2020 4:54 PM
To: i.matchavariani@mof.ge; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge
Cc: n.gagua@mof.ge; Ekaterine Mikabadze <emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge>; inadareishvili@moesd.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear Natia and Ivane –

 

Please find attached three new World Bank policy notes to help our clients combat the COVID-19 crisis. 

  1. The first focuses on the tourism sector and looks at the crisis’ impact on the sector and policy responses. 
  2. The second is on revenue administration applications, looking at potential tax administration and customs measures to respond to the crisis. 
  3. And the third is an 2-page action plan on public debt management and essentially offers World Bank advisory support on how to finance their fiscal response. 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, April 03, 2020 9:37 PM
To: i.matchavariani@mof.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge
Cc: n.gagua@mof.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: Re: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

My last email for the week and over the weekend, I promise, but I did think it important to share this scientific article confirming the effectiveness of surgical face masks (contrary what was initially reported) as it could influence preventive measures taken by the govt. moving forward. 

 

Respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath and efficacy of face masks | Nature Medicine

Respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath and efficacy of face masks

·  ,03 April 2020

Nature Medicine (2020)Cite this article

Abstract

We identified seasonal human coronaviruses, influenza viruses and rhinoviruses in exhaled breath and coughs of children and adults with acute respiratory illness. Surgical face masks significantly reduced detection of influenza virus RNA in respiratory droplets and coronavirus RNA in aerosols, with a trend toward reduced detection of coronavirus RNA in respiratory droplets. Our results indicate that surgical face masks could prevent transmission of human coronaviruses and influenza viruses from symptomatic individuals.

Main

Respiratory virus infections cause a broad and overlapping spectrum of symptoms collectively referred to as acute respiratory virus illnesses (ARIs) or more commonly the ‘common cold’. Although mostly mild, these ARIs can sometimes cause severe disease and death1. These viruses spread between humans through direct or indirect contact, respiratory droplets (including larger droplets that fall rapidly near the source as well as coarse aerosols with aerodynamic diameter >5 µm) and fine-particle aerosols (droplets and droplet nuclei with aerodynamic diameter ≤5 µm)2,3. Although hand hygiene and use of face masks, primarily targeting contact and respiratory droplet transmission, have been suggested as important mitigation strategies against influenza virus transmission4, little is known about the relative importance of these modes in the transmission of other common respiratory viruses2,3,5. Uncertainties similarly apply to the modes of transmission of COVID-19 (refs. 6,7).

Some health authorities recommend that masks be worn by ill individuals to prevent onward transmission (source control)4,8. Surgical face masks were originally introduced to protect patients from wound infection and contamination from surgeons (the wearer) during surgical procedures, and were later adopted to protect healthcare workers against acquiring infection from their patients. However, most of the existing evidence on the filtering efficacy of face masks and respirators comes from in vitro experiments with nonbiological particles9,10, which may not be generalizable to infectious respiratory virus droplets. There is little information on the efficacy of face masks in filtering respiratory viruses and reducing viral release from an individual with respiratory infections8, and most research has focused on influenza11,12.

Here we aimed to explore the importance of respiratory droplet and aerosol routes of transmission with a particular focus on coronaviruses, influenza viruses and rhinoviruses, by quantifying the amount of respiratory virus in exhaled breath of participants with medically attended ARIs and determining the potential efficacy of surgical face masks to prevent respiratory virus transmission.

Results

We screened 3,363 individuals in two study phases, ultimately enrolling 246 individuals who provided exhaled breath samples (Extended Data Fig. 1). Among these 246 participants, 122 (50%) participants were randomized to not wearing a face mask during the first exhaled breath collection and 124 (50%) participants were randomized to wearing a face mask. Overall, 49 (20%) voluntarily provided a second exhaled breath collection of the alternate type.

Infections by at least one respiratory virus were confirmed by reverse transcription PCR (RT–PCR) in 123 of 246 (50%) participants. Of these 123 participants, 111 (90%) were infected by human (seasonal) coronavirus (n = 17), influenza virus (n = 43) or rhinovirus (n = 54) (Extended Data Figs. 1 and 2), including one participant co-infected by both coronavirus and influenza virus and another two participants co-infected by both rhinovirus and influenza virus. These 111 participants were the focus of our analyses.

There were some minor differences in characteristics of the 111 participants with the different viruses (Table 1a). Overall, 24% of participants had a measured fever ≥37.8 °C, with patients with influenza more than twice as likely than patients infected with coronavirus and rhinovirus to have a measured fever. Coronavirus-infected participants coughed the most with an average of 17 (s.d. = 30) coughs during the 30-min exhaled breath collection. The profiles of the participants randomized to with-mask versus without-mask groups were similar (Supplementary Table 1).

Table 1a Characteristics of individuals with symptomatic coronavirus, influenza virus or rhinovirus infection

We tested viral shedding (in terms of viral copies per sample) in nasal swabs, throat swabs, respiratory droplet samples and aerosol samples and compared the latter two between samples collected with or without a face mask (Fig. 1). On average, viral shedding was higher in nasal swabs than in throat swabs for each of coronavirus (median 8.1 log10 virus copies per sample versus 3.9), influenza virus (6.7 versus 4.0) and rhinovirus (6.8 versus 3.3), respectively. Viral RNA was identified from respiratory droplets and aerosols for all three viruses, including 30%, 26% and 28% of respiratory droplets and 40%, 35% and 56% of aerosols collected while not wearing a face mask, from coronavirus, influenza virus and rhinovirus-infected participants, respectively (Table 1b). In particular for coronavirus, we identified OC43 and HKU1 from both respiratory droplets and aerosols, but only identified NL63 from aerosols and not from respiratory droplets (Supplementary Table 2 and Extended Data Fig. 3).

Fig. 1: Efficacy of surgical face masks in reducing respiratory virus shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols of symptomatic individuals with coronavirus, influenza virus or rhinovirus infection.

figure1

ac, Virus copies per sample collected in nasal swab (red), throat swab (blue) and respiratory droplets collected for 30min while not wearing (dark green) or wearing (light green) a surgical face mask, and aerosols collected for 30min while not wearing (brown) or wearing (orange) a face mask, collected from individuals with acute respiratory symptoms who were positive for coronavirus (a), influenza virus (b) and rhinovirus (c), as determined by RT–PCR in any samples. Pvalues for mask intervention as predictor of log10 virus copies per sample in an unadjusted univariate Tobit regression model which allowed for censoring at the lower limit of detection of the RT–PCR assay are shown, with significant differences in bold. For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (coronavirus, n=17; influenza virus, n=43; rhinovirus, n=54). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, numbers of infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing or wearing a surgical face mask, respectively were: coronavirus (n=10 and 11), influenza virus (n=23 and 28) and rhinovirus (n=36 and 32). A subset of participants provided exhaled breath samples for both mask interventions (coronavirus, n=4; influenza virus, n=8; rhinovirus, n=14). The box plots indicate the median with the interquartile range (lower and upper hinge) and ±1.5×interquartile range from the first and third quartile (lower and upper whiskers).

Table 1b Efficacy of surgical face masks in reducing respiratory virus frequency of detection and viral shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols of symptomatic individuals with coronavirus, influenza virus or rhinovirus infection

We detected coronavirus in respiratory droplets and aerosols in 3 of 10 (30%) and 4 of 10 (40%) of the samples collected without face masks, respectively, but did not detect any virus in respiratory droplets or aerosols collected from participants wearing face masks, this difference was significant in aerosols and showed a trend toward reduced detection in respiratory droplets (Table 1b). For influenza virus, we detected virus in 6 of 23 (26%) and 8 of 23 (35%) of the respiratory droplet and aerosol samples collected without face masks, respectively. There was a significant reduction by wearing face masks to 1 of 27 (4%) in detection of influenza virus in respiratory droplets, but no significant reduction in detection in aerosols (Table 1b). Moreover, among the eight participants who had influenza virus detected by RT–PCR from without-mask aerosols, five were tested by viral culture and four were culture-positive. Among the six participants who had influenza virus detected by RT–PCR from with-mask aerosols, four were tested by viral culture and two were culture-positive. For rhinovirus, there were no significant differences between detection of virus with or without face masks, both in respiratory droplets and in aerosols (Table 1b). Conclusions were similar in comparisons of viral shedding (Table 1b). In addition, we found a significant reduction in viral shedding (Supplementary Table 2) in respiratory droplets for OC43 (Extended Data Fig. 4) and influenza B virus (Extended Data Fig. 5) and in aerosols for NL63 (Extended Data Fig. 4).

We identified correlations between viral loads in different samples (Extended Data Figs. 68) and some evidence of declines in viral shedding by time since onset for influenza virus but not for coronavirus or rhinovirus (Extended Data Fig. 9). In univariable analyses of factors associated with detection of respiratory viruses in various sample types, we did not identify significant association in viral shedding with days since symptom onset (Supplementary Table 3) for respiratory droplets or aerosols (Supplementary Tables 46).

A subset of participants (72 of 246, 29%) did not cough at all during at least one exhaled breath collection, including 37 of 147 (25%) during the without-mask and 42 of 148 (28%) during the with-mask breath collection. In the subset for coronavirus (n = 4), we did not detect any virus in respiratory droplets or aerosols from any participants. In the subset for influenza virus (n = 9), we detected virus in aerosols but not respiratory droplets from one participant. In the subset for rhinovirus (n = 17), we detected virus in respiratory droplets from three participants, and we detected virus in aerosols in five participants.

Discussion

Our results indicate that aerosol transmission is a potential mode of transmission for coronaviruses as well as influenza viruses and rhinoviruses. Published studies detected respiratory viruses13,14such as influenza12,15 and rhinovirus16 from exhaled breath, and the detection of SARS-CoV17and MERS-CoV18 from air samples (without size fractionation) collected from hospitals treating patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome and Middle East respiratory syndrome, but ours demonstrates detection of human seasonal coronaviruses in exhaled breath, including the detection of OC43 and HKU1 from respiratory droplets and NL63, OC43 and HKU1 from aerosols.

Our findings indicate that surgical masks can efficaciously reduce the emission of influenza virus particles into the environment in respiratory droplets, but not in aerosols12. Both the previous and current study used a bioaerosol collecting device, the Gesundheit-II (G-II)12,15,19, to capture exhaled breath particles and differentiated them into two size fractions, where exhaled breath coarse particles >5 μm (respiratory droplets) were collected by impaction with a 5-μm slit inertial Teflon impactor and the remaining fine particles ≤5 μm (aerosols) were collected by condensation in buffer. We also demonstrated the efficacy of surgical masks to reduce coronavirus detection and viral copies in large respiratory droplets and in aerosols (Table 1b). This has important implications for control of COVID-19, suggesting that surgical face masks could be used by ill people to reduce onward transmission.

Among the samples collected without a face mask, we found that the majority of participants with influenza virus and coronavirus infection did not shed detectable virus in respiratory droplets or aerosols, whereas for rhinovirus we detected virus in aerosols in 19 of 34 (56%) participants (compared to 4 of 10 (40%) for influenza and 8 of 23 (35%) for coronavirus). For those who did shed virus in respiratory droplets and aerosols, viral load in both tended to be low (Fig. 1). Given the high collection efficiency of the G-II (ref. 19) and given that each exhaled breath collection was conducted for 30 min, this might imply that prolonged close contact would be required for transmission to occur, even if transmission was primarily via aerosols, as has been described for rhinovirus colds20. Our results also indicate that there could be considerable heterogeneity in contagiousness of individuals with coronavirus and influenza virus infections.

The major limitation of our study was the large proportion of participants with undetectable viral shedding in exhaled breath for each of the viruses studied. We could have increased the sampling duration beyond 30 min to increase the viral shedding being captured, at the cost of acceptability in some participants. An alternative approach would be to invite participants to perform forced coughs during exhaled breath collection12. However, it was the aim of our present study to focus on recovering respiratory virus in exhaled breath in a real-life situation and we expected that some individuals during an acute respiratory illness would not cough much or at all. Indeed, we identified virus RNA in a small number of participants who did not cough at all during the 30-min exhaled breath collection, which would suggest droplet and aerosol routes of transmission are possible from individuals with no obvious signs or symptoms. Another limitation is that we did not confirm the infectivity of coronavirus or rhinovirus detected in exhaled breath. While the G-II was designed to preserve viability of viruses in aerosols, and in the present study we were able to identify infectious influenza virus in aerosols, we did not attempt to culture coronavirus or rhinovirus from the corresponding aerosol samples.

Methods

Study design

Participants were recruited year-round from March 2013 through May 2016 in a general outpatient clinic of a private hospital in Hong Kong. As routine practice, clinic staff screened all individuals attending the clinics for respiratory and any other symptoms regardless of the purpose of the visit at triage. Study staff then approached immediately those who reported at least one of the following symptoms of ARI for further screening: fever ≥37.8 °C, cough, sore throat, runny nose, headache, myalgia and phlegm. Individuals who reported ≥2 ARI symptoms, within 3 d of illness onset and ≥11 years of age were eligible to participate. After explaining the study to and obtaining informed consent from the participants, a rapid influenza diagnostic test, the Sofia Influenza A + B Fluorescent Immunoassay Analyzer (cat. no. 20218, Quidel), was used to identify influenza A or B virus infection as an incentive to participate. All participants provided a nasal swab for the rapid test and an additional nasal swab and a separate throat swab for subsequent virologic confirmation at the laboratory. All participants also completed a questionnaire to record basic information including age, sex, symptom severity, medication, medical conditions and smoking history. In the first phase of the study from March 2013 to February 2014 (‘Influenza Study’), the result of the rapid test was used to determine eligibility for further participation in the study and exhaled breath collection, whereas in the second phase of the study from March 2014 to May 2016 (‘Respiratory Virus Study’), the rapid test did not affect eligibility. Eligible participants were then invited to provide an exhaled breath sample for 30 min in the same clinic visit.

Before exhaled breath collection, each participant was randomly allocated in a 1:1 ratio to either wearing a surgical face mask (cat. no. 62356, Kimberly-Clark) or not during the collection. To mimic the real-life situation, under observation by the study staff, participants were asked to attach the surgical mask themselves, but instruction on how to wear the mask properly was given when the participant wore the mask incorrectly. Participants were instructed to breathe as normal during the collection, but (natural) coughing was allowed and the number of coughs was recorded by study staff. Participants were then invited to provide a second exhaled breath sample of the alternate type (for example if the participant was first assigned to wearing a mask they would then provide a second sample without a mask), but most participants did not agree to stay for a second measurement because of time constraints. Participants were compensated for each 30-min exhaled breath collection with a supermarket coupon worth approximately US$30 and all participants were gifted a tympanic thermometer worth approximately US$20.

Ethical approval

Written informed consent was obtained from all participants ≥18 years of age and written informed consent was obtained from parents or legal guardians of participants 11–17 years of age in addition to their own written informed consent. The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of The University of Hong Kong and the Clinical and Research Ethics Committee of Hong Kong Baptist Hospital.

Collection of swabs and exhaled breath particles

Nasal swabs and throat swabs were collected separately, placed in virus transport medium, stored and transported to the laboratory at 2–8 °C and the virus transport medium was aliquoted and stored at −70 °C until further analysis. Exhaled breath particles were captured and differentiated into two size fractions, the coarse fraction containing particles with aerodynamic diameter >5 μm (referred to here as ‘respiratory droplets’), which included droplets up to approximately 100 µm in diameter and the fine fraction with particles ≤5 μm (referred to here as ‘aerosols’) by the G-II bioaerosol collecting device12,15,19. In the G-II device, exhaled breath coarse particles >5 μm were collected by a 5-μm slit inertial Teflon impactor and the remaining fine particles ≤5 μm were condensed and collected into approximately 170 ml of 0.1% BSA/PBS. Both the impactor and the condensate were stored and transported to the laboratory at 2–8 °C. The virus on the impactor was recovered into 1 ml and the condensate was concentrated into 2 ml of 0.1% BSA/PBS, aliquoted and stored at −70 °C until further analysis. In a validation study, the G-II was able to recover over 85% of fine particles >0.05 µm in size and had comparable collection efficiency of influenza virus as the SKC BioSampler19.

Laboratory testing

Samples collected from the two studies were tested at the same time. Nasal swab samples were first tested by a diagnostic-use viral panel, xTAG Respiratory Viral Panel (Abbott Molecular) to qualitatively detect 12 common respiratory viruses and subtypes including coronaviruses (NL63, OC43, 229E and HKU1), influenza A (nonspecific, H1 and H3) and B viruses, respiratory syncytial virus, parainfluenza virus (types 1–4), adenovirus, human metapneumovirus and enterovirus/rhinovirus. After one or more of the candidate respiratory viruses was detected by the viral panel from the nasal swab, all the samples from the same participant (nasal swab, throat swab, respiratory droplets and aerosols) were then tested with RT–PCR specific for the candidate virus(es) for determination of virus concentration in the samples. Infectious influenza virus was identified by viral culture using MDCK cells as described previously21, whereas viral culture was not performed for coronavirus and rhinovirus.

Statistical analyses

The primary outcome of the study was virus generation rate in tidal breathing of participants infected by different respiratory viruses and the efficacy of face masks in preventing virus dissemination in exhaled breath, separately considering the respiratory droplets and aerosols. The secondary outcomes were correlation between viral shedding in nose swabs, throat swabs, respiratory droplets and aerosols and factors affecting viral shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols.

We identified three groups of respiratory viruses with the highest frequency of infection as identified by RT–PCR, namely coronavirus (including NL63, OC43, HKU1 and 229E), influenza virus and rhinovirus, for further statistical analyses. We defined viral shedding as log10 virus copies per sample and plotted viral shedding in each sample (nasal swab, throat swab, respiratory droplets and aerosols); the latter two were stratified by mask intervention. As a proxy for the efficacy of face masks in preventing transmission of respiratory viruses via respiratory droplet and aerosol routes, we compared the respiratory virus viral shedding in respiratory droplet and aerosol samples between participants wearing face masks or not, by comparing the frequency of detection with a two-sided Fisher’s exact test and by comparing viral load (defined as log10 virus copies per sample) by an unadjusted univariate Tobit regression model, which allowed for censoring at the lower limit of detection of the RT–PCR assay. We also used the unadjusted univariate Tobit regression to investigate factors affecting viral shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols without mask use, for example age, days since symptom onset, previous influenza vaccination, current medication and number of coughs during exhaled breath collection. We investigated correlations between viral shedding in nasal swab, throat swab, respiratory droplets and aerosols with scatter-plots and calculated the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient between any two types of samples. We imputed 0.3 log10 virus copies ml−1 for undetectable values before transformation to log10 virus copies per sample. All analyses were conducted with R v.3.6.0 (ref. 22) and the VGAM package v.1.1.1 (ref. 23).

Reporting Summary

Further information on research design is available in the Nature Research Reporting Summary linked to this article.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the General Research Fund of the University Grants Committee (grant no. 765811), the Health and Medical Research Fund (grant no. 13120592) and a commissioned grant of the Food and Health Bureau and the Theme-based Research Scheme (project no. T11-705/14-N) of the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong SAR Government. We acknowledge colleagues including R. O. P. Fung, A. K. W. Li, T. W. Y. Ng, T. H. C. So, P. Wu and Y. Xie for technical support in preparing and conducting this study and enrolling participants; J. K. M. Chan, S. Y. Ho, Y. Z. Liu and A. Yu for laboratory support; S. Ferguson, W. K. Leung, J. Pantelic, J. Wei and M. Wolfson for technical support in constructing and maintaining the G-II device; V. J. Fang, L. M. Ho and T. T. K. Lui for setting up the database; and C. W. Y. Cheung, L. F. K. Cheung, P. T. Y. Ching, A. C. H. Lai, D. W. Y. Lam, S. S. Y. Lo, A. S. K. Luk and other colleagues at the Outpatient Center and Infection Control Team of Hong Kong Baptist Hospital for facilitating this study.

Author information

  1. These authors jointly supervised this work: Donald K. Milton, Benjamin J. Cowling.

Affiliations

  1. WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
    • Nancy H. L. Leung
    • , Daniel K. W. Chu
    • , Eunice Y. C. Shiu
    • , Benien J. P. Hau
    • , Hui-Ling Yen
    • , Dennis K. M. Ip
    • , J. S. Malik Peiris
    • , Wing-Hong Seto
    • , Gabriel M. Leung
    •  & Benjamin J. Cowling
  1. Department of Microbiology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
    • Kwok-Hung Chan
  1. Department of Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
    • James J. McDevitt
  1. Department of Surgery, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong, China
    • Benien J. P. Hau
  1. Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
    • Yuguo Li
  1. Department of Pathology, Hong Kong Baptist Hospital, Hong Kong, China
    • Wing-Hong Seto
  1. Maryland Institute for Applied Environmental Health, School of Public Health, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA
    • Donald K. Milton

Contributions

All authors meet the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors criteria for authorship. The study protocol was drafted by N.H.L.L. and B.J.C. Data were collected by N.H.L.L., E.Y.C.S. and B.J.P.H. Laboratory testing was performed by D.K.W.C. and K.-H.C. Statistical analyses were conducted by N.H.L.L. N.H.L.L. and B.J.C. wrote the first draft of the manuscript, and all authors provided critical review and revision of the text and approved the final version.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Benjamin J. Cowling.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

B.J.C. consults for Roche and Sanofi Pasteur. The authors declare no other competing interests.

Additional information

Peer review information Alison Farrell was the primary editor on this article and managed its editorial process and peer review in collaboration with the rest of the editorial team.

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Extended data

Extended Data Fig. 1

Participant enrolment, randomization of mask intervention and identification of respiratory virus infection.

Extended Data Fig. 2 Weekly number of respiratory virus infections identified by RT-PCR in symptomatic individuals who had provided exhaled breath samples (respiratory droplets and aerosols) during the study period.

Blue, coronavirus; red, influenza virus; yellow, rhinovirus; green, other respiratory viruses including human metapneumovirus, parainfluenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus and adenovirus; white, no respiratory virus infection identified.

Extended Data Fig. 3 Respiratory virus shedding in (a) nasal swab, (b) throat swab, (c) respiratory droplets and (d) aerosols in symptomatic individuals with coronavirus NL63, coronavirus OC43, coronavirus HKU1, influenza A and influenza B virus infection.

For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals identified by RT-PCR in any collected samples were included: coronavirus NL63 (n = 8), coronavirus OC43 (n = 5), coronavirus HKU1 (n = 4), influenza A virus (n = 31) and influenza B virus (n = 14). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, only infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing a surgical face mask were included: coronavirus NL63 (n = 3), coronavirus OC43 (n = 3), coronavirus HKU1 (n = 4), influenza A virus (n = 19) and influenza B virus (n = 6). The box plots indicate the median with the interquartile range (lower and upper hinge) and ± 1.5 × interquartile range from the first and third quartile (lower and upper whisker). Dark blue, coronavirus NL63; light blue, coronavirus OC43; brown, coronavirus HKU1; red, influenza A virus; orange, influenza B virus.

Extended Data Fig. 4 Efficacy of surgical face masks in reducing respiratory virus shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols of symptomatic individuals with seasonal coronaviruses including (a) coronavirus NL63, (b) coronavirus OC43 and (c) coronavirus HKU1.

The figure shows the virus copies per sample collected in nasal swab (red), throat swab (blue), respiratory droplets collected for 30 min while not wearing (dark green) or wearing (light green) a surgical face mask and aerosols collected for 30 min while not wearing (brown) or wearing (orange) a face mask, collected from individuals with acute respiratory symptoms who were positive for coronavirus NL63, coronavirus OC43 and coronavirus HKU1 as determined by RT-PCR in any samples. P values for mask intervention as predictor of log10virus copies per sample in an unadjusted univariate Tobit regression model which allowed for censoring at the lower limit of detection of the RT-PCR assay are shown, with significant differences in bold. For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (coronavirus NL63, n = 8; coronavirus OC43, n = 5; coronavirus HKU1, n = 4). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, numbers of infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing or wearing a surgical face mask, respectively were: coronavirus NL63 (n = 3 and 5), coronavirus OC43 (n = 3 and 4), coronavirus HKU1 (n = 4 and 2). A subset of participants provided exhaled breath samples for both mask interventions (coronavirus NL63, n = 0; coronavirus OC43, n = 2; coronavirus HKU1, n = 2).

Extended Data Fig. 5 Efficacy of surgical face masks in reducing respiratory virus shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols of symptomatic individuals with seasonal influenza viruses including (a) influenza A and (b) influenza B virus.

The figure shows the virus copies per sample collected in nasal swab (red), throat swab (blue), respiratory droplets collected for 30 min while not wearing (dark green) or wearing (light green) a surgical face mask and aerosols collected for 30 min while not wearing (brown) or wearing (orange) a face mask, collected from individuals with acute respiratory symptoms who were positive for influenza A and influenza B virus as determined by RT-PCR in any samples. P values for mask intervention as predictor of log10 virus copies per sample in an unadjusted univariate Tobit regression model which allowed for censoring at the lower limit of detection of the RT-PCR assay are shown, with significant differences in bold. For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (influenza A virus, n = 31; influenza B virus, n = 14). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, numbers of infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing or wearing a surgical face mask, respectively were: influenza A virus (n = 19 and 19), influenza B virus (n = 6 and 10). A subset of participants provided exhaled breath samples for both mask interventions (influenza A virus, n = 7; influenza B virus, n = 2).

Extended Data Fig. 6 Correlation of coronavirus viral shedding between different samples (nasal swab, throat swab, respiratory droplets and aerosols) in symptomatic individuals with seasonal coronavirus infection.

For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (n = 17). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, only infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing a surgical face mask were included (n = 10). r, the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.

Extended Data Fig. 7 Correlation of influenza viral shedding between different samples (nasal swab, throat swab, respiratory droplets and aerosols) in symptomatic individuals with seasonal influenza infection.

For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (n = 43). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, only infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing a surgical face mask were included (n = 23). r, the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.

Extended Data Fig. 8 Correlation of rhinovirus viral shedding between different samples (nasal swab, throat swab, respiratory droplets and aerosols) in symptomatic individuals with rhinovirus infection.

For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (n = 54). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, only infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing a surgical face mask were included (n = 36). r, the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.

Extended Data Fig. 9 Respiratory virus shedding in respiratory droplets and aerosols stratified by days from symptom onset for (a) coronavirus, (b) influenza virus or (c) rhinovirus.

The figures shows the virus copies per sample collected in nasal swab (red), throat swab (blue), respiratory droplets (dark green) and aerosols (brown) collected for 30 min while not wearing a surgical face mask, stratified by the number of days from symptom onset on which the respiratory droplets and aerosols were collected. For nasal swabs and throat swabs, all infected individuals were included (coronavirus, n = 17; influenza virus, n = 43; rhinovirus, n = 54). For respiratory droplets and aerosols, numbers of infected individuals who provided exhaled breath samples while not wearing or wearing a surgical face mask, respectively were: coronavirus (n = 10 and 11), influenza virus (n = 23 and 28), rhinovirus (n = 36 and 32). A subset of participants provided exhaled breath samples for both mask interventions (coronavirus, n = 4; influenza virus, n = 8; rhinovirus, n = 14). The box plots indicate the median with the interquartile range (lower and upper hinge) and ± 1.5 × interquartile range from the first and third quartile (lower and upper whisker).

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Leung, N.H.L., Chu, D.K.W., Shiu, E.Y.C. et al. Respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath and efficacy of face masks. Nat Med(2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0843-2

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Kind regards, 

Sebastian 

 

Sebastian Molineus

Regional Director for the South Caucasus

Europe and Central Asia, The World Bank

Follow me on Twitter @SMolineus

 

 

Sent from my iPhone

 

On Apr 3, 2020, at 19:33, Sebastian-A Molineus wrote:

 Dear colleagues - 

 

Please find below and attached an update on social protection measures from across the world. 

 

FYI, the number of countries with measures in place is now triple-digit; more cash transfers than ever; COVID-related social assistance is benefiting almost 600 million people; lots of action in social insurance (mostly paid sick leave) as well as labor markets (largely wage subsidies).

Here are stylized facts to help synthesize current global trends: 

 

Fact #1. As of today, a total of 106 countries have introduced or adapted social protection and jobs programs in response to COVID-19. This is an 26% increase since last week (when countries were 84), while the number of programs grew by almost 50%, i.e., from 283 to 418. Among classes of interventions, social assistance (non-contributory transfers) keeps being the most widely used (including a total of 241 programs), followed by actions in social insurance (116) and supply-side labor market interventions (61).

 

Fact #2. Within social assistance, cash transfer programs are clearly the most widely used intervention by governments: these include 124 programs in 71 countries, with 54 new initiatives introduced specifically as COVID-19 response in 36 countries. Those 124 programs would increase to 149 if social pensions, public works, childcare support and one-off universal basic income (or helicopter money) are considered. Such overall cash-based portfolio represents over one-third of total social protection programs (35.6%) (see pie below) and 61.8% of social assistance schemes.

 

Fact #3. More data points on coverage levels are also starting to emerge, especially in social assistance. A preliminary estimate of the number of beneficiaries specifically supported via COVID-related introductions, expansions, and adaptations of programs is 594 million. Those beneficiaries include both individuals (for programs like public works) and households (e.g., for conditional cash transfers), pending on how they are reported. On one hand, such estimate is conservative given that not all programs report coverage (especially planned schemes); on the other hand, the estimate also includes schemes for which programs envisioned administrative adaptations, such as providing the same level of benefits but paid in a more user-friendly way. Clearly, global coverage levels are largely driven by India, but sizable levels can be observed in several countries, especially in Asia.

 

Fact #4. In terms of social insurance, paid sick leave is the most frequently-adopted measure, including in countries like Algeria, El Salvador, Finland and Lebanon. Unemployment benefits are also widely used, including for example in Romania, Russia, and South Africa. Deferring or subsidizing social contributions are observed in Montenegro, Germany and the Netherlands among others.

 

Fact #5. Labor market interventions are another key way in which governments are providing support to formal and informal sector workers (i.e., we don’t include demand-side actions on the labor markets). Wage subsidies account for 59% of the global labor market portfolio, with programs being implemented in Jamaica, Kosovo, Malaysia and Thailand. Activation measures (worker trainings) are also being considered inter alia in Bosnia and Herzegovina, China and Romania.

 

Fact #6. Compared to last week, programs are less unevenly distributed across regions and country income groups. Importantly, measures are being introduced in low-income countries, although only on social assistance and insurance. In those contexts, social assistance measures mostly include administrative adaptations, in-kind transfers, school feeding, and utility waivers. As such, there appears to be very limited cash transfer program expanded or introduced (Tajikistan is one example). 

 

Please find attached additional information. I hope you are able to enjoy a bit of the weekend with your families.  

 

 

 

 

 

Best regards, 

Sebastian 

 

Sebastian Molineus

Regional Director for the South Caucasus

Europe and Central Asia, The World Bank

Follow me on Twitter @SMolineus

 

Sent from my iPad

 

On Apr 3, 2020, at 17:07, Sebastian-A Molineus wrote:



Dear all – I attach for information the Korea case study shared with us by the government of Korea, in case of interest. 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Friday, March 27, 2020 7:24 PM
To: i.matchavariani@mof.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge
Cc: n.gagua@mof.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov ; Lire Ersado ; Abdulaziz Faghi ; Jan Van Bilsen
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear Ministers, Dear Ekaterine and Ivane –

 

Please find attached an updated World Bank paper on Social Protection and Jobs Responses to COVID-19: A Real-Time Review of Country Measures.  I trust you will find this paper useful as you design your social protection policy measures along with our teams within the framework of the upcoming Fast Track COVID-19 Response Facility that your government has requested. 

 

As usual, we stand ready to support and answer any questions you may have. 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Thursday, March 26, 2020 7:12 PM
To: koba.gvenetadze@nbg.gov.ge; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge
Cc: Archil.Mestvirishvili@nbg.gov.ge; emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge; n.gagua@mof.ge; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

Please find attached a note on ‘Managing the Employment Impacts of the COVID-19 Crisis’, produced by the World Bank Jobs Group. It reviews a variety of available policy options in a succinct and practical manner, and I hope you find it useful and timely.

 

As always, please let me know if you have any questions or would like for us to organize a follow-up discussion with our World Bank experts. 

 

Thank you and kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Tuesday, March 24, 2020 6:27 PM
To: koba.gvenetadze@nbg.gov.ge; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge; etikaradze@moh.gov.ge
Cc: Archil.Mestvirishvili@nbg.gov.ge; emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge; n.gagua@mof.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>; tgabunia@moh.gov.ge
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear colleagues –

 

FYI, I am attaching two scientific articles from Harvard University and ISI/ GISC on the effectiveness of social distancing strategies, as well as two World Bank papers, the first of which looks at the lessons-learned from Italy’s COVID-19 response and the second reviewing Global Social Protection Responses to COVID-19, which I know you are contemplating as we speak.  I have summarized key take-aways below: 

  • https://dash.harvard.edu/handle/1/42638988: The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is straining healthcare resources worldwide, prompting social distancing measures to reduce transmission intensity. The amount of social distancing needed to curb the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the context of seasonally varying transmission remains unclear. Using a mathematical model, we assessed that one-time interventions will be insufficient to maintain COVID-19 prevalence within the critical care capacity of the United States. Seasonal variation in transmission will facilitate epidemic control during the summer months but could lead to an intense resurgence in the autumn. Intermittent distancing measures can maintain control of the epidemic, but without other interventions, these measures may be necessary into 2022. Increasing critical care capacity could reduce the duration of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic while ensuring that critically ill patients receive appropriate care.
  • https://covid-19-sds.github.io/assets/pdfs/Preliminary_Report_Effectiveness_of_social_distance_strategies_COVID-19.pdf: Key findings 1. School closures do not have a major impact on controlling the epidemic, despite closing them, infections keep occurring within the households and the community layers. 2. Passive social distance strategies are not enough to contain the epidemic, indicating that active strategies need to be established. For instance, large scale testing, remote symptoms monitoring, isolation and contact tracing. 3. School closures and self-distancing at 90% of adoption is a feasible strategy for minimizing the effects of the epidemic, but only if they are applied for a long period of time. 4. A full confinement is not feasible and will not solve the problem, without active measures in place after the confinement, since there would be a new outbreak. 5. If high resolution mobility data is available, our data-driven approach with real world data can be easily replicated for new cities or countries to measure the impact of social distance strategies and the epidemic.
  • Early lessons-learned from Italy: In response to previous epidemics of SARS and MERS, China, Singapore, and South Korea overhauled their emergency systems and strengthened public health and disease surveillance response systems, which enabled a swift response to the COVID-19 pandemics. Different countries worldwide have different levels of preparedness and have adopted different measures to combat COVID-19 pandemic, offering vital insight into the response. Lack of swift disease detection and containment measures can lead to overwhelmed health systems swiftly, and exceeding healthcare capacity can further exacerbate the community spread of SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19.  Timely disease control measures need to be accompanied with surge capacity to curb the exponential spread of COVID-19. The evidence suggests that travel restrictions only work if coupled with rapid testing, physical distancing, isolation, infection prevention and Control in HCWs etc. to break the chain of transmission.  In a globalized world where epidemics and pandemics are increasingly common, pandemic surge planning using the 4 S framework (Space, Stuff, Staff, and System) can enable bolstered surge response. The proposed recommendations contain short, medium, and long-term measures to operationalize surge response to COVID-19 in Italy; including short-term measures to scale up surge response using the 4 S framework; medium and long-term measures of gap analysis for legislative and institutional reforms, and health system strengthening respectively.
  • A Global Review of Social Protection Responses to COVID-19: As of March 20, 2020, a total of 45 countries have introduced, adapted or expanded social protection programs in response to COVID-19. The most widely used measures include: cash transfers (30 programs), followed by wage subsidies (11), subsidized sick leave (10), and various forms of subsidized social security contributions and unemployment insurance.  A total of 13 new cash transfer programs have been introduced, like for example in Bolivia, India, Iran and Peru.  A universal, one-off cash payment to all citizens will occur in Hong-Kong and Singapore.  New in-kind schemes have also been launched, such as food vouchers in Taiwan and Seattle in the United States. Countries are adapting existing social assistance programs in various ways, by for instance: (i) anticipating payments of future cash transfer programs (Colombia and Indonesia); (ii) ensuring additional payments, often on a one-off basis (e.g., Argentina, Armenia, Australia, Turkey); (iii) providing more generous benefit levels (e.g., China); (iv) increasing the coverage of existing cash schemes (e.g., Brazil) and public works (Uzbekistan); (v) enhancing agility by suspending conditionalities in the UK and Italy; and (vi) providing innovative design solutions, such as school feeding programs delivering food directly to children’s homes or nearby centers (Jamaica and India’s Kerala state) or adapting their financing (Japan).  Income support in the form of childcare vouchers or allowances were provided in Italy, Poland and South Korea.  Other social assistance programs include support for homeless populations as planned in Spain; utility subsidies waiving fees for basic services are present in El Salvador; and wavers for loans and other financial obligations (e.g., Bolivia).  Many countries provide cash benefits to crisis-affected self-employed workers (e.g., Ireland, Portugal, New Zealand) and those in the informal sector (India). Some countries (e.g., Netherland) are reducing work time among the wage employed, combined with paid sick leave. Sweden is reducing the administrative time required for sick-leave payments, while Switzerland is doing so for the unemployment insurance process.  Delivery innovations are also emerging in Jordan (new cash program using same registration form of existing schemes), Japan (uploading transfers on phones), and Romania (enhanced electronic processes for benefits).

I hope you find these useful.

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus
Europe and Central Asia
+995 (32) 291 6238
M +995 (577) 78 7821
M +1 (202) 492-3914
E  smolineus@worldbank.org
W www.worldbank.org/en/region/eca

 @smolineus

www.linkedin.com/in/molineus/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From: Sebastian-A Molineus
Sent: Sunday, March 22, 2020 12:31 PM
To: koba.gvenetadze@nbg.gov.ge; nturnava@moesd.gov.ge; i.matchavariani@mof.ge
Cc: Archil.Mestvirishvili@nbg.gov.ge; emikabadze@moesd.gov.ge; n.gagua@mof.ge; Evgenij Najdov <enajdov@worldbank.org>; Lire Ersado <lersado@worldbank.org>; Abdulaziz Faghi <afaghi@worldbank.org>; Jan Van Bilsen <jvanbilsen@ifc.org>
Subject: RE: Our standing WB offer to support the government of Georgia during the COVID-19 crisis

 

Dear Ministers and Governor, Dear Natia, Ivane, and Koba -

please find attached a global compendium of financial sector policy measures relevant to combatting the economic fall-out from COVID-19.  The document remains a work in progress and is in draft form, but given the speed at which everything is evolving I’d rather share this document with you sooner than later.  I will of course continue to share relevant updates with you.  I also share with you a set of broader policy measures undertaken by the EU member countries, again for info.  

COVID-19 outbreak: Classification of Policy Measures Related to the Financial Sector

Draft March 18, 2020

Monetary and liquidity measures

  • Easing of policy rates
  • Liquidity support (e.g., OMO/repo, standing facilities, FX, minimum reserve requirements, collateral)
  • Credit easing (e.g. purchases of corporate, government, MBS paper; outright support to SMEs)
  • Easing Emergency Liquidity Assistance (e.g., loosening of collateral criteria)

Financial institution measures

Prudential and integrity

  • Easing/draw down of capital buffers (e.g., counter-cyclical, capital conservation)
  • Easing limits on large exposures
  • Easing of liquidity requirements (in foreign and local currency)
  • Forbearance of NPL classification, past due classification
  • Suspension of accounting standards (e.g. IFRS 9) or provisioning rules
  • Lower certain risks weights (e.g., loans with government guarantees)
  • Easing of macro-prudential measures (e.g., LTVs, DTIs)
  • Restrictions on dividend payments
  • Limit foreign exposures of banks and non-bank financial institutions
  • Ensure compliance of critical conduct and integrity rules to mitigate market abuse

Support for borrowers in affected sectors (e.g., SMEs, tourism, exporters)

  • Encourage private institutions to provide short-term cash support, waive fees and penalties, etc.
  • Moratorium on repayments, incl. mortgages (e.g., missed payments added to principal)
  • Support targeted restructuring of loans
  • State (partial) guarantees on loans
  • State subsidies on borrowers’ repayments
  • State loans to affected companies, sectors (e.g., through state banks or C)

Crisis management

  • State guarantees on bank liabilities (e.g., deposit guarantees to avert runs)
  • Freeze on deposit withdrawals
  • Freeze on withdrawal of open-ended funds
  • Capital injections, bailouts, bail-ins, and nationalization
  • Additional (backstop) funding to deposit guarantee schemes

Other measures

  • Intensification of industry consultation, monitoring of large companies, and key markets
  • Review business continuity and disaster recovery plans
  • Review of supervisory reporting requirements and methods as staff cannot access systems
  • Closing of bank branches and ATMs to prevent COVID-19 spread
  • Stimulate use of digital payments to prevent COVID-19 spread
  • Review regulations (KYC) to allow for remote interactions (e.g. refinancing mortgages, SME loans)

Financial markets measures

Market support

  • FX market interventions by Central Bank
  • FX swap lines with other Central Banks
  • Outright asset purchases (e.g., securities of affected companies, sectors)

Market intervention

  • Halting of trading, bans on (naked) short selling
  • Temporary restrictions on cross-border capital (out)flows

Public Debt Management measures

  • Establish basis for decision-making and developing communications strategy
  • Identify funding from other sources to reduce pressure on traditional wholesale market borrowing
  • Adapt the funding program to shifts in the demand for government paper
  • Ensure minimal functionality in the primary and secondary markets

 

 

Kind regards,

Sebastian

 

 

Sebastian Molineus
Regional Director for the South Caucasus

<20200321_Korea_Response.pdf>